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Abstract:
In this paper, we consider a stochastic SIRS model with parameter perturbation, which is a standard technique in modeling population dynamics. In our model, the disease transmission coefficient and the removal rates are all affected by noise. We show that the stochastic model has a unique positive solution as is essential in any population model. Then we establish conditions for extinction or persistence of the infectious disease. When the infective part is forced to expire, the susceptible part converges weakly to an inverse-gamma distribution with explicit shape and scale parameters. In case of persistence, by new stochastic Lyapunov functions, we show the ergodic property and positive recurrence of the stochastic model. We also derive the an estimate for the mean of the stationary distribution. The analytical results are all verified by computer simulations, including examples based on experiments in laboratory populations of mice.
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MATHEMATICAL BIOSCIENCES AND ENGINEERING
ISSN: 1547-1063
Year: 2014
Issue: 4
Volume: 11
Page: 1003-1025
0 . 8 4
JCR@2014
2 . 6 0 0
JCR@2022
ESI Discipline: MATHEMATICS;
ESI HC Threshold:86
JCR Journal Grade:4
CAS Journal Grade:4
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 34
SCOPUS Cited Count: 42
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 0
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