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author:

Liu, Hong (Liu, Hong.) [1] | Zhang, Qi-Shan (Zhang, Qi-Shan.) [2] (Scholars:张岐山)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus PKU CSCD

Abstract:

In order to improve the prediction accuracy, firstly GM(2,1) has been improved with the linear combination of the forward and backward difference scheme, where the parameter λ has been used to correct the background value; secondly the parameter ρ was used for a multiple transformation on the initial data, a new GM(2,1, λ, ρ) has been constructed in this paper. Because of the nonlinear traits between λ, ρ and the prediction errors, they are difficult to be solved, then GM(2,1, λ, ρ) based on Particle Swarm Optimization(PSO-GM (2,1, λ, ρ)) has been proposed, where λ and ρ have been constituted a two-dimensional particle swarm, absolute of mean relative error has been as fitness function, its minimization has been as objective function, then the best λ, ρ have been solved. The practical examples show that the speed of convergence in PSO-GM (2,1, λ, ρ) is rapid, the prediction accuracy is much higher than that of the GM(2,1), and it can meet practical need.

Keyword:

Forecasting Linear transformations Mathematical transformations Metadata Particle swarm optimization (PSO)

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Liu, Hong]School of Mechanical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Qi-Shan]School of Mechanical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou 350002, China

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Source :

System Engineering Theory and Practice

ISSN: 1000-6788

CN: 11-2267/N

Year: 2008

Issue: 10

Volume: 28

Page: 96-101

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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