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author:

Lai, Y. (Lai, Y..) [1] | Easa, S. (Easa, S..) [2] | Sun, D. (Sun, D..) [3] | Wei, Y. (Wei, Y..) [4]

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Scopus

Abstract:

Prediction of bus arrival time is an important part of intelligent transportation systems. Accurate prediction can help passengers make travel plans and improve travel efficiency. Given the nonlinearity, randomness, and complexity of bus arrival time, this paper proposes the use of a wavelet neural network (WNN) model with an improved particle swarm optimization algorithm (IPSO) that replaces the gradient descent method. The proposed IPSO-WNN model overcomes the limitations of the gradient-based WNN which can easily produce local optimum solutions and stop the training process and thus improves prediction accuracy. Application of the model is illustrated using operational data of an actual bus line. The results show that the proposed model is capable of accurately predicting bus arrival time, where the root-mean square error and the maximum relative error were reduced by 42% and 49%, respectively. © 2020 Yuanwen Lai et al.

Keyword:

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lai, Y.]College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Easa, S.]College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 3 ] [Easa, S.]Department of Civil Engineering, Ryerson University, Toronto, ON M5B2K3, Canada
  • [ 4 ] [Sun, D.]College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 5 ] [Sun, D.]Wenzhou Transportation Planning and Design Institute, Wenzhou, 325000, China
  • [ 6 ] [Wei, Y.]College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Lai, Y.]College of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou UniversityChina

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Source :

Journal of Advanced Transportation

ISSN: 0197-6729

Year: 2020

Volume: 2020

2 . 4 1 9

JCR@2020

2 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:132

JCR Journal Grade:3

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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