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Abstract:
Accurate prediction of PM2.5 concentration at the hour scale can improve the capabilities of air pollution forecast. Traditional models for PM2.5 prediction rely on a number of selected factors, while the selection of factors is hard to conduct. In this paper, we propose a new model using a Stack Sparse Auto-Encoder (SSAE) and a Long-Short Term Memory (LSTM) neural network for PM2.5 concentration prediction, referred to as SSAE-LSTM. We use the SSAE method to automatically extract high-level features with respect to PM2.5 based upon several factors regarding time, space, weather and air pollution. The extracted features are then used to build a time-series LSTM model that is able to extract effective spatial-temporal features. The proposed SSAE-LSTM model was evaluated using datasets of air pollution and weather collected from 71 air monitoring sites in Beijing-Tianjing-Hebei urban areas from 2016 to 2018, and compared with existing methods. Experimental results show that the predicted results by the proposed method had a higher accuracy than that of existing methods, having an IA index over 0.99 for all testing datasets, while the corresponding RMSE and MAE were dropped to 13.98 and 7.90, respectively. Furthermore, we applied the SSAE-LSTM to the datasets of 71 air monitoring sites covering the spring, summer, autumn, and winter seasons. Results showed that the predicted values were highly correlated with ground-truth values for all seasons, with coefficients of 0.86, 0.92, 0.96, 0.93, respectively. Moreover, the predicted results of the Wanshouxigong site in Beijing revealed that the SSAE-LSTM model can be effectively used for PM2.5 prediction at various air quality conditions. © 2020, Science Press. All right reserved.
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Acta Scientiae Circumstantiae
ISSN: 0253-2468
Year: 2020
Issue: 9
Volume: 40
Page: 3422-3434
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 0
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