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author:

Wu, B. (Wu, B..) [1] | Li, R. (Li, R..) [2] | Huang, B. (Huang, B..) [3]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Spatiotemporal autocorrelation and nonstationarity are two important issues in the modeling of geographical data. Built upon the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model and the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model, this article develops a geographically and temporally weighted autoregressive model (GTWAR) to account for both nonstationary and auto-correlated effects simultaneously and formulates a two-stage least squares framework to estimate this model. Compared with the maximum likelihood estimation method, the proposed algorithm that does not require a prespecified distribution can effectively reduce the computation complexity. To demonstrate the efficacy of our model and algorithm, a case study on housing prices in the city of Shenzhen, China, from year 2004 to 2008 is carried out. The results demonstrate that there are substantial benefits in modeling both spatiotemporal nonstationarity and autocorrelation effects simultaneously on housing prices in terms of R2 and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The proposed model reduces the absolute errors by 31.8% and 67.7% relative to the GTWR and GWR models, respectively, in the Shenzhen data set. Moreover, the GTWAR model improves the goodness-of-fit of the ordinary least squares model and the GTWR model from 0.617 and 0.875 to 0.914 in terms of R2. The AIC test corroborates that the improvements made by GTWAR over the GWR and the GTWR models are statistically significant. 2014 © 2014 Taylor & Francis.

Keyword:

GTWAR; housing price; spatiotemporal autocorrelation; spatiotemporal nonstationarity; two-stage least squares estimation

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wu, B.]Key Lab of Spatial Data Mining and Information Sharing of Ministry of Education, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, R.]Institute of Space and Earth Information Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong
  • [ 3 ] [Huang, B.]Institute of Space and Earth Information Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong
  • [ 4 ] [Huang, B.]Department of Geography and Resource Management, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong
  • [ 5 ] [Huang, B.]Yuen Yuen Research Centre for Satellite Remote Sensing, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong
  • [ 6 ] [Huang, B.]Shenzhen Research Institute, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen, China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Huang, B.]Institute of Space and Earth Information Science, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong

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Source :

International Journal of Geographical Information Science

ISSN: 1365-8816

Year: 2014

Issue: 5

Volume: 28

Page: 1186-1204

1 . 6 5 5

JCR@2014

4 . 3 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:161

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 147

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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