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author:

Chen, Yuli (Chen, Yuli.) [1] | Liu, Fawang (Liu, Fawang.) [2] | Yu, Qiang (Yu, Qiang.) [3] | Li, Tianzeng (Li, Tianzeng.) [4]

Indexed by:

EI SCIE

Abstract:

The global impact of corona virus (COVID-19) has been profound, and the public health threat it represents is the most serious seen in a respiratory virus since the 1918 influenza A(H1N1) pandemic. In this paper, we have focused on reviewing the results of epidemiological modelling especially the fractional epidemic model and summarized different types of fractional epidemic models including fractional Susceptible-Infective-Recovered (SIR), Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Recovered (SEIR), Susceptible-Exposed-Infective-Asymptomatic-Recovered (SEIAR) models and so on. Furthermore, we propose a general fractional SEIAR model in the case of single-term and multi-term fractional differential equations. A feasible and reliable parameter estimation method based on modified hybrid Nelder-Mead simplex search and particle swarm optimisation is also presented to fit the real data using fractional SEIAR model. The effective methods to solve the fractional epidemic models we introduced construct a simple and effective analytical technique that can be easily extended and applied to other fractional models, and can help guide the concerned bodies in preventing or controlling, even predicting the infectious disease outbreaks. (C) 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Epidemic models Fractional order differential equations Hybrid simplex search and particle swarm optimisation Implicit numerical method Multi-term epidemic models Parameter estimation

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Yuli]Fuzhou Univ, Zhicheng Coll, Fuzhou 350001, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Fawang]Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, GPO Box 2434, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
  • [ 3 ] [Yu, Qiang]Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, GPO Box 2434, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia
  • [ 4 ] [Liu, Fawang]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Tianzeng]Sichuan Univ Sci & Engn, Sch Math & Stat, Zigong 643000, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 刘发旺

    [Liu, Fawang]Queensland Univ Technol, Sch Math Sci, GPO Box 2434, Brisbane, Qld 4001, Australia;;[Liu, Fawang]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Math & Comp Sci, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China

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Source :

APPLIED MATHEMATICAL MODELLING

ISSN: 0307-904X

Year: 2021

Volume: 97

Page: 281-307

5 . 3 3 6

JCR@2021

4 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:105

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 52

SCOPUS Cited Count: 59

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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