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author:

Yang, Long-Hao (Yang, Long-Hao.) [1] | Ye, Fei-Fei (Ye, Fei-Fei.) [2] | Liu, Jun (Liu, Jun.) [3] | Wang, Ying-Ming (Wang, Ying-Ming.) [4] | Hu, Haibo (Hu, Haibo.) [5]

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EI

Abstract:

Environmental investment prediction has attracted much attention in the last few years. However, there are still great challenges in investment prediction modeling, e.g., 1) effective environmental indicators must be accurately selected to avoid the curse of dimensionality; 2) effective environmental data must be reasonably selected to downsize the scale of historical data; 3) the higher interpretability and lower complexity of prediction models must be considered. To address the above three challenges, a new environmental investment prediction model using fuzzy rule-based system (FRBS), evidential reasoning (ER) approach, and subtractive clustering (SC) algorithm is proposed in the present work, called FRBS-ERSC. In this new model, the FRBS is the core component for the modeling of environmental investment prediction and therefore provides good interpretability and complexity to environmental managers. Meanwhile, the ER approach is used as an improvement technique of the FRBS to combine the strengths of different feature selection methods for better indicator selection, and the SC algorithm is used as another improvement technique of the FRBS to select effective environmental data. An empirical case of environmental investment prediction is studied based on data on 31 provinces in China ranged from 2005 to 2018. The experimental results show that the proposed FRBS-ERSC not only provides interpretable and scalable environmental investment prediction based on effective indicator selection and data selection, but also produces satisfactory accuracy compared to some existing models. © 2021 Elsevier B.V.

Keyword:

Clustering algorithms Forecasting Fuzzy inference Fuzzy rules Investments

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Yang, Long-Hao]Decision Sciences Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Yang, Long-Hao]School of Computing, Ulster University at Jordanstown Campus, Newtownabbey; Northern Ireland; BT37 0QB, Ireland
  • [ 3 ] [Yang, Long-Hao]Department of Electronic and Information Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong
  • [ 4 ] [Ye, Fei-Fei]Decision Sciences Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 5 ] [Ye, Fei-Fei]School of Computing, Ulster University at Jordanstown Campus, Newtownabbey; Northern Ireland; BT37 0QB, Ireland
  • [ 6 ] [Ye, Fei-Fei]Department of Electronic and Information Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong
  • [ 7 ] [Liu, Jun]School of Computing, Ulster University at Jordanstown Campus, Newtownabbey; Northern Ireland; BT37 0QB, Ireland
  • [ 8 ] [Wang, Ying-Ming]Decision Sciences Institute, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 9 ] [Wang, Ying-Ming]Key Laboratory of Spatial Data Mining & Information Sharing of Ministry of Education, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350116, China
  • [ 10 ] [Hu, Haibo]Department of Electronic and Information Engineering, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong

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Source :

Fuzzy Sets and Systems

ISSN: 0165-0114

Year: 2021

Volume: 421

Page: 44-61

4 . 4 6 2

JCR@2021

3 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:105

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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