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author:

Zhang, Zhendong (Zhang, Zhendong.) [1] | Wang, Ya-Xiong (Wang, Ya-Xiong.) [2] | He, Hongwen (He, Hongwen.) [3] | Sun, Fengchun (Sun, Fengchun.) [4]

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EI

Abstract:

Proton exchange membrane fuel cell (PEMFC), as a promising power source, provides a feasible solution for clean and low-carbon energy systems. The durability problem restricts PEMFC application in some scenarios, which can be improved by the prognostic technology indirectly. This paper aims to develop a data-based method to implement the short-term and long-term prognostic simultaneously, and the developed long-term prognostic can be performed without future operation information. First, the short-term prognostics of five multi-step ahead forecasting strategies are proposed and compared based on a long short-term memory (LSTM) network. Results show that the multi-step input and multi-step output (MIMO) with LSTM strategy has a better performance in the short-term prognostics under the test conditions of the stationary and dynamic current. Then, the hyper-parameters of the prediction model are determined by an evolutionary algorithm. Furthermore, in the long-term prognostics regime, the variable-step long-term method is proposed and rectified by the short-term prognostics. Finally, the developed remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is compared with a model-based extended Kalman filter. The average root mean square error results for the short-term prognostics of two conditions are 0.00532 and 0.00538, respectively. The RUL estimations of two PEMFCs named FC1 and FC2 are given with 95% and 90% confidence intervals, respectively. Consequently, the proposed method can achieve acceptable accuracies in the short-term prognostic, the long-term prognostic, and the RUL prediction. © 2021 Elsevier Ltd

Keyword:

Brain Forecasting Kalman filters Long short-term memory Mean square error Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFC) Systems engineering

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Zhendong]National Engineering Laboratory for Electric Vehicles, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing; 100081, China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Ya-Xiong]National Engineering Laboratory for Electric Vehicles, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing; 100081, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Ya-Xiong]School of Mechanical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 4 ] [He, Hongwen]National Engineering Laboratory for Electric Vehicles, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing; 100081, China
  • [ 5 ] [Sun, Fengchun]National Engineering Laboratory for Electric Vehicles, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing; 100081, China

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Source :

Applied Energy

ISSN: 0306-2619

Year: 2021

Volume: 304

1 1 . 4 4 6

JCR@2021

1 0 . 1 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:105

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 43

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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