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author:

Hsu, Ching-Chi (Hsu, Ching-Chi.) [1] | Chien, FengSheng (Chien, FengSheng.) [2]

Indexed by:

SSCI

Abstract:

This study examines the potential risks of the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) on the comovements of international stock markets. Using stock markets of related countries as a case study, we implement an asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation model to estimate dynamic conditional correlations between the China stock market and related stock markets. The results of testing the structural changes show that the breakpoints of dynamic conditional correlations are within the announcement dates of BRI, documenting that the comovements between China's stock market and related stock markets significantly increase following BRI actions. The positive comovements lead to a stronger volatility spillover effect when China's stock market is more volatile. To investigate the downside risk of BRI actions, we evaluate the performance of portfolio strategies by introducing gold. The findings show that portfolios composed of gold and stock markets perform well. These results suggest that using gold as a hedge could effectively increase the diversification benefits and reduce downside risk.

Keyword:

Asymmetric dynamic conditional correlation Belt and road initiative Comovements Gold Volatility spillover effect

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Hsu, Ching-Chi]Fuzhou Univ Int Studies & Trade, Sch Finance & Accounting, 28 Yuhuan Rd, Fuzhou, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Chien, FengSheng]Fuzhou Univ Int Studies & Trade, Sch Finance & Accounting, 28 Yuhuan Rd, Fuzhou, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chien, FengSheng]City Univ Macau, Fac Business, Macau, Peoples R China

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Source :

INTERNATIONAL REVIEW OF ECONOMICS & FINANCE

ISSN: 1059-0560

Year: 2022

Volume: 80

Page: 1130-1152

4 . 5

JCR@2022

4 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ECONOMICS & BUSINESS;

ESI HC Threshold:62

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 4

SCOPUS Cited Count: 4

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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