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author:

Chen, Kaijie (Chen, Kaijie.) [1] | Tang, Zhenpeng (Tang, Zhenpeng.) [2] | Wu, Junchuan (Wu, Junchuan.) [3] | Du, Xiaoxu (Du, Xiaoxu.) [4] | Cai, Yi (Cai, Yi.) [5]

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EI PKU CSCD

Abstract:

Accurate forecasts of the stock market have important implications for both investors and regulators. The decomposition-integration framework is widely used in forecasting research of financial time series. However, most of previous studies only use single historical data to predict the components, which ignoring the influence of other low-frequency heterogeneous data on the components. This study proposes a novel decomposition-integration model EEMD-Mixed Frequency CNN-BiLSTM-Attention/LSTM-LSTM (EE-MFCBA/L-L), which take the advantages of the decomposition-integration and mixing data sampling. Firstlly the stock index is decomposed into several different frequency components by EEMD. Meanwhile the fuzzy entropy algorithm is used to identify the frequency characteristic of the components. Then the components are predicted by MFCBA/L model where the low frequency data will be considered according to the frequency characteristics of the components. Finally, the LSTM model is used to nonlinearly integrate the predictor of each component. The empirical results show that the proposed model can better adapt to the characteristics of returns. Compared with the traditional model, the proposed model has significant advantages in predicting non-stationary and nonlinear return series, with the lowest prediction error and the highest directional prediction accuracy. © 2022 Systems Engineering Society of China. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Financial data processing Financial markets Forecasting Integration Investments Long short-term memory Signal processing

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Chen, Kaijie]College of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 2 ] [Tang, Zhenpeng]School of Economics and Management, Fujian Agriculture and Forestry University, Fuzhou; 350002, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wu, Junchuan]School of Economics and Management, Nanchang University, Nanchang; 330031, China
  • [ 4 ] [Du, Xiaoxu]College of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 5 ] [Cai, Yi]College of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350108, China

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Source :

System Engineering Theory and Practice

ISSN: 1000-6788

CN: 11-2267/N

Year: 2022

Issue: 11

Volume: 42

Page: 3105-3120

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count: 3

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 5

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