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author:

Zhang, Zi-Xin (Zhang, Zi-Xin.) [1] | Wang, Liang (Wang, Liang.) [2] (Scholars:王亮) | Duan, JinLi (Duan, JinLi.) [3] | Wang, Ying-Ming (Wang, Ying-Ming.) [4]

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Early warning is an effective way to eliminate or reduce the losses and negative impacts caused by hazards in advance, which has important practical significance in real world situations. It has drawn great attention from government and academy in recent years. Information related to hazards plays an important role in early warning process, there are different types of such information in real world situations. However, existing early warning studies employ just single information type to describe the hazards, it might not describe the hazards properly and comprehensively due to the complex and uncertain of real world situations. Therefore, it seems necessary and reasonable to consider different types of information related to hazards in the early warning process. To fill up the gap, this study proposes a novel early warning method that considers heterogeneous information from both quantitative and qualitative contexts including experts' hesitancy. On such basis, fuzzy evidential reasoning approach is utilized due to its capacity not only to fuse different types of information, but also to keep as much information as possible during the fusion process. Finally, an illustrate example together with related discussions are presented to demonstrate the validity, feasibility and novelty of the proposed method. The proposed early warning method can provide more safety status information of early warning objectives, which can be used to not only forecast and warn different types of hazards, but also conduct the risk analysis and assessment. It has widely potential application values in real world situations.

Keyword:

Early warning Fuzzy evidential reasoning Heterogeneous information

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Zi-Xin]Yango Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350015, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Duan, JinLi]Yango Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350015, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Ying-Ming]Yango Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350015, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Liang]Fuzhou Univ, Decis Sci Inst, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China

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Source :

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF DISASTER RISK REDUCTION

ISSN: 2212-4209

Year: 2022

Volume: 82

5 . 0

JCR@2022

4 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI HC Threshold:51

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 4

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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