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author:

Li, Ruimeng (Li, Ruimeng.) [1] | Yang, Naiding (Yang, Naiding.) [2] | Yi, Hao (Yi, Hao.) [3] | Jin, Na (Jin, Na.) [4]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Disruptive design change risk propagation is a key obstacle restricting the success of complex product devel-opment (CPD) projects. Considering the incomplete information of initial change source selection, this paper develops the design change risk propagation model with gray attack information based on complex network theory. In this model, parameters pi and sigma are introduced to describe the gray information from both global and local perspectives. Based on the gray information, four kinds of gray attack strategies are provided. The robustness of the CPD project against design change risk propagation under different gray attacks is analyzed through numerical simulation. The results show that the CPD project is most robust under the small out-degree attack, while is most vulnerable under the large out-degree attack. No matter based on global or local gray in-formation, increasing the gray level of information is beneficial to improve the project robustness under large out-degree attack, while reduces the project robustness under small out-degree attack under certain circum-stances. Parameters sigma and pi have thresholds sigma* and pi*, which can keep the project robustness stable. This paper has implications for project managers to make reasonable decisions for project information management and provides a new perspective for CPD project robustness prediction and improvement.

Keyword:

Complex product development Design change risk propagation Gray attack information Interdependent network Network robustness Project robustness

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Ruimeng]Chongqing Univ Posts & Telecommun, Sch Econ & Management, Chongqing 400065, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Yang, Naiding]Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710072, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Jin, Na]Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Management, Xian 710072, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Yi, Hao]Chongqing Univ, Coll Mech & Vehicle Engn, Chongqing 400044, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Jin, Na]Fuzhou Univ, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Yi, Hao]Chongqing Univ, Coll Mech & Vehicle Engn, Chongqing 400044, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY

ISSN: 0951-8320

Year: 2023

Volume: 235

9 . 4

JCR@2023

9 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:35

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 5

SCOPUS Cited Count: 7

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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