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author:

Zheng, Xidong (Zheng, Xidong.) [1] | Bai, Feifei (Bai, Feifei.) [2] | Zhuang, Zhiyuan (Zhuang, Zhiyuan.) [3] | Chen, Zixing (Chen, Zixing.) [4] | Jin, Tao (Jin, Tao.) [5] (Scholars:金涛)

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Accurate prediction of renewable energy generation acts as a critical role which not only provides short-term power generation in the future, but also facilitates scheduling and pre-configuration of energy storage sys-tems. More importantly, the power generation prediction is of great significance to the demand response man-agement (DRM) of renewable energy to participate in the electricity spot market. Therefore, DRM helps improve the stability and reliability of renewable energy systems. This paper presents a novel prediction-smoothing based methodology to reduce and eliminate the influence caused by the uncertainty of renewable energy output. Firstly, the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) is combined with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) to predict short-term wind power output. Then, the Hampel-Butterworth-SG filtering strategy with outlier regression and specific risk band elimination is introduced. After that, according to the short-term output forecast results, the scheduling and pre-configuration scheme of peak-filling type energy storage is developed. Finally, based on the predicted renewable energy output and electricity price, the dynamic changes of demand response (DR) are calculated based on Logistics function, optimistic response and pessimistic response factors. Through extensive case studies, it is demonstrated that the assessment deviations in different scenarios is less than 5%, which are 0.64% for Scenario 1 and 3.64% for Scenario 2, and no additional penalty is required at this time. In addition, the proposed Demand Response Load Adjustment Rate (DRLAR) help compare the differences between predicted and actual DR, which are DRLAR = 0.03% in Scenario 1 and DRLAR = 0.01% in Scenario 2. Users are able to adjust the DR dynamically according to the electricity price to realize the optimal scheduling of their renewable re-sources. The proposed methodology creates a special connection between DRM and renewable energy prediction, which provides a reliable reference for future work.

Keyword:

Demand response management Energy storage system Logistics function Renewable energy smoothing strategy Short-term wind power prediction Whale optimization algorithm

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zheng, Xidong]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhuang, Zhiyuan]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Zixing]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Jin, Tao]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Elect Engn & Automat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Bai, Feifei]Univ Queensland, Sch Informat Technol & Elect Engn, Brisbane, Qld 4072, Australia
  • [ 6 ] [Bai, Feifei]Griffith Univ, Sch Engn & Built Environm, Gold Coast, Qld 4222, Australia
  • [ 7 ] [Zhuang, Zhiyuan]State Grid Fuzhou Elect Power Supply Co, Fuzhou 350009, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Chen, Zixing]State Grid Fuzhou Elect Power Supply Co, Fuzhou 350009, Peoples R China

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Source :

RENEWABLE ENERGY

ISSN: 0960-1481

Year: 2023

Volume: 211

Page: 656-668

9 . 0

JCR@2023

9 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:35

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 12

SCOPUS Cited Count: 11

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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