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author:

Zhang, Z. (Zhang, Z..) [1] | Kattel, G.R. (Kattel, G.R..) [2] | Shang, Y. (Shang, Y..) [3] | Wang, G. (Wang, G..) [4] | Chuai, X. (Chuai, X..) [5] | Wang, Q. (Wang, Q..) [6] | Cui, X. (Cui, X..) [7] | Miao, L. (Miao, L..) [8]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Given the unprecedented rates of climate change, population growth, and natural resources consumption, global food security has emerged as a critical issue in the twenty-first century. Over the past few decades, the African continent has been plagued by serious food insecurity issues, resulting from poverty and mismanagement of resources. Recent studies have suggested that a comprehensive assessment of food security in Africa and an investigation into the factors that affect the food self-sufficiency ratio (SSR) are increasingly essential. Estimating variations of SSR throughout Africa together with examining its affecting mechanisms is thought to be resolving ongoing food crisis and achieving sustainable food security in Africa. Here, we have assessed spatio-temporal evolutions of SSR in Africa and its associated drivers based on the Granger causality method. SSR in Africa showed an overall downward trend from 1961 to 2018, mainly aggregating in Northern and Southern regions. Among 44 African countries studied, Eastern African countries had relatively higher SSRs, while Northern and Southern regions had lower SSRs. Between 1970 and 2018, Granger causality analysis revealed that about 52%, 34%, and 34% of African countries were affected by GDP, food production, and import quantity, respectively. Additionally, the influence of climatic factors (temperature and precipitation) on SSR was detected in about 27% of countries, while their direct impact on food production was found in around 45% of the regions. Implementing viable solutions such as improving food production, facilitating international trades and cooperation, and promoting sustainable economic development can largely contribute to safeguarding food security in Africa and elsewhere facing similar challenges. © 2023, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.

Keyword:

Africa Agricultural production Food security Food self-sufficiency ratio Granger causality Spatio-temporal variations

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang Z.]School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang Z.]School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhang Z.]Changwang School of Honors, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
  • [ 4 ] [Kattel G.R.]School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
  • [ 5 ] [Kattel G.R.]Department of Infrastructure Engineering, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
  • [ 6 ] [Kattel G.R.]Department of Hydraulic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
  • [ 7 ] [Shang Y.]School of Atmospheric Physics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
  • [ 8 ] [Wang G.]School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China
  • [ 9 ] [Chuai X.]School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China
  • [ 10 ] [Wang Q.]College of Environment & Safety Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 11 ] [Cui X.]School of Systems Science, Beijing Normal University, Beijing, China
  • [ 12 ] [Miao L.]School of Geographical Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China

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Source :

Regional Environmental Change

ISSN: 1436-3798

Year: 2023

Issue: 2

Volume: 23

3 . 4

JCR@2023

3 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:17

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 3

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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