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author:

Wang, Ningli (Wang, Ningli.) [1] | You, Wanhai (You, Wanhai.) [2] (Scholars:游万海)

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus

Abstract:

Because of the acceleration in marketization and globalization, stock markets in the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa) countries are affected by various global factors, for example, oil prices, gold prices, global stock market volatility, global economic policy un-certainty, financial stress, and investor sentiment. This paper offers new insights into the short -and long-run linkages between global factors and BRICS stock markets by applying the quantile autoregressive distributed lags (QARDL) approach. This novel methodology enables us to test short-and long-run linkages accounting for distributional asymmetry. That is, the nonlinear dynamic relationship between the global factors and BRICS stock prices depends on market conditions. Our empirical results show that the effects of gold prices and global stock market volatility on BRICS stock prices are more significant in the long run than in the short run. A decrease in global stock market volatility is associated with higher stock prices, while gold prices demonstrate upward co-movement in dynamic correlations with stock markets. Irrational factors, such as economic policy uncertainty, financial stress, and investor sentiment, play a critical role in the short term, and negative interdependence is dominant. Finally, the rolling-window esti-mation technique is used to examine time-varying patterns between major global factors and BRICS stock markets. & COPY; 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

BRICS stock markets Global factors QARDL Short-and long-run effects Time-varying patterns

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Ningli]Tsinghua Univ, Sch Social Sci, Inst Econ, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China

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Source :

ECONOMIC SYSTEMS

ISSN: 0939-3625

Year: 2023

Issue: 2

Volume: 47

2 . 8

JCR@2023

2 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:29

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 3

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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