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author:

Lu, Xiaoyang (Lu, Xiaoyang.) [1]

Indexed by:

EI

Abstract:

The relationship between environmental factors with the power output of photovoltaic (PV) stations is unclear due to the non-linear characteristics of PV systems, which is challenging for PV power forecasting technology. To cope with these challenges, a hybrid forecasting approach called hybrid K-Means++ and Deep Neural Network with input and output adjusting structures (K-IAOA-DNN) is proposed to accurately predict PV power output. The proposed forecasting approach designs several features for K-Means++ to search for similar samples, reducing the complexity of the following forecasting model. Due to changeable environmental conditions and characteristics of PV systems like degradation, the prediction result of a forecasting model may deviate from the expected one. Therefore, IAOA-DNN model is developed by using a DNN adopting the two proposed structures e.g., the input adjusting structure and the output adjusting structure. The input adjusting structure uses several trainable parameters to determine the importance of each meteorological input for further feature extracting by DNN. The output structure in the prediction model is used for analyzing features extracted from DNN to generate a scalar factor fine-tuning the output of DNN. Additionally, the proposed method provides more accurate forecasting results with average RMSE, NRMSE, and MAE values of 14.43, 0.048, and 9.53 kW, respectively. © 2023

Keyword:

Deep neural networks Environmental technology Forecasting K-means clustering

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]School of Physics and Information Engineering, Institute of Micro-Nano Devices and Solar Cells, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 2 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Jiangsu Collaborative Innovation Center of Photovoltaic Science and Engineering, Changzhou, China
  • [ 3 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, Australia

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Source :

Measurement: Journal of the International Measurement Confederation

ISSN: 0263-2241

Year: 2023

Volume: 220

5 . 2

JCR@2023

5 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI HC Threshold:35

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 18

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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