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author:

Su, X. (Su, X..) [1] | Zeng, L. (Zeng, L..) [2] | Shao, B. (Shao, B..) [3] | Lin, B. (Lin, B..) [4]

Indexed by:

Scopus

Abstract:

Purpose: The production planning problem with fine-grained information has hardly been considered in practice. The purpose of this study is to investigate the data-driven production planning problem when a manufacturer can observe historical demand data with high-dimensional mixed-frequency features, which provides fine-grained information. Design/methodology/approach: In this study, a two-step data-driven optimization model is proposed to examine production planning with the exploitation of mixed-frequency demand data is proposed. First, an Unrestricted MIxed DAta Sampling approach is proposed, which imposes Group LASSO Penalty (GP-U-MIDAS). The use of high frequency of massive demand information is analytically justified to significantly improve the predictive ability without sacrificing goodness-of-fit. Then, integrated with the GP-U-MIDAS approach, the authors develop a multiperiod production planning model with a rolling cycle. The performance is evaluated by forecasting outcomes, production planning decisions, service levels and total cost. Findings: Numerical results show that the key variables influencing market demand can be completely recognized through the GP-U-MIDAS approach; in particular, the selected accuracy of crucial features exceeds 92%. Furthermore, the proposed approach performs well regarding both in-sample fitting and out-of-sample forecasting throughout most of the horizons. Taking the total cost and service level obtained under the actual demand as the benchmark, the mean values of both the service level and total cost differences are reduced. The mean deviations of the service level and total cost are reduced to less than 2.4%. This indicates that when faced with fluctuating demand, the manufacturer can adopt the proposed model to effectively manage total costs and experience an enhanced service level. Originality/value: Compared with previous studies, the authors develop a two-step data-driven optimization model by directly incorporating a potentially large number of features; the model can help manufacturers effectively identify the key features of market demand, improve the accuracy of demand estimations and make informed production decisions. Moreover, demand forecasting and optimal production decisions behave robustly with shifting demand and different cost structures, which can provide manufacturers an excellent method for solving production planning problems under demand uncertainty. © 2023, Emerald Publishing Limited.

Keyword:

Big data Data-driven optimization Mixed-frequency data Production planning

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Su X.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zeng L.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China
  • [ 3 ] [Shao B.]Department of Industrial and Systems Engineering, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, United States
  • [ 4 ] [Lin B.]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, China

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Source :

Kybernetes

ISSN: 0368-492X

Year: 2023

Issue: 1

Volume: 54

Page: 110-133

2 . 5

JCR@2023

2 . 5 0 0

JCR@2023

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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