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author:

Lu, Xiaoyang (Lu, Xiaoyang.) [1] | Chen, Yandang (Chen, Yandang.) [2] | Li, Qibin (Li, Qibin.) [3] | Yu, Pingping (Yu, Pingping.) [4]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Photovoltaic (PV) power generation is widely utilized to satisfy the increasing energy demand due to its cleanness and inexhaustibility. Accurate PV power forecasting can improve the penetration of PV power in the grid. However, it is pretty challenging to predict PV power in short-term under precious future meteorological information absence conditions. To address this problem, this study proposes the hybrid Contrastive Learning and Temporal Convolutional Network (CL-TCN), and this forecasting approach consists of two parts, including model training and adaptive processes of forecasting models. In the model training stage, this forecasting method firstly trains 18 TCN models for 18 time points from 9:00 a.m. to 17:30 p.m. These TCN models are trained by only using historical PV power data samples, and each model is used to predict the next half-hour power output. The adaptive process of models means that, in a practical forecasting stage, PV power samples from historical data are firstly evaluated and scored by a CL based data scoring mechanism to search for the most similar data samples to current measured samples. Then these similar samples are further applied to training a single above-mentioned well-trained TCN model to improve its performance in forecasting the next half-hour PV power. The experimental results tested at the time resolution of 30 min demonstrate that the proposed approach has superior performance in forecasting accuracy not only in smooth PV power samples but also in fluctuating PV power samples. Moreover, the proposed CL based data scoring mechanism can filter useless data samples effectively accelerating the forecasting process.

Keyword:

contrastive learning deep learning future meteorological information absence PV power forecasting temporal convolutional network

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Qibin]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Yu, Pingping]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Micronano Devices & Solar Cells, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Li, Qibin]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Micronano Devices & Solar Cells, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Yu, Pingping]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Micronano Devices & Solar Cells, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Changzhou Univ, Adv Catalysis & Green Mfg Collaborat Innovat Ctr, Changzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Li, Qibin]Changzhou Univ, Adv Catalysis & Green Mfg Collaborat Innovat Ctr, Changzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Yu, Pingping]Changzhou Univ, Adv Catalysis & Green Mfg Collaborat Innovat Ctr, Changzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Univ Technol Sydney, Fac Engn & Informat Technol, Sydney, Australia
  • [ 11 ] [Chen, Yandang]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou, Peoples R China
  • [ 12 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 13 ] [Lu, Xiaoyang]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Micronano Devices & Solar Cells, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Lu, Xiaoyang]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Phys & Informat Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;[Lu, Xiaoyang]Fuzhou Univ, Inst Micronano Devices & Solar Cells, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE

ISSN: 0824-7935

Year: 2023

Issue: 1

Volume: 40

1 . 8

JCR@2023

1 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

JCR Journal Grade:3

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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