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author:

Lin, Dianchao (Lin, Dianchao.) [1] (Scholars:林典超) | Li, Li (Li, Li.) [2] (Scholars:李莉) | Xue, Nian (Xue, Nian.) [3] | Wang, Lei (Wang, Lei.) [4]

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Abstract:

Imminent Throughput (ITP), the number of vehicles in a movement that can pass through an intersection given a unit of effective green time, serves as a crucial control input in many real-time optimization-based control schemes. The accuracy of ITP prediction can significantly influence control performance. If a movement with a green signal cannot discharge as many vehicles as predicted by the controller, its performance may be significantly reduced. However, most existing studies have focused on the design of control schemes while neglecting the importance of precise ITP prediction. These studies either assume that ITP can be accurately predicted or use traditional indices (e.g., saturation flow rate) or heuristic methods to predict ITP, resulting in relatively low accuracy. This paper proposes the use of a Deep Neural Network (DNN) to predict ITP and demonstrates that the DNN with Multiple Classifications (NN-C) models can predict ITP with higher accuracy, lower mean absolute error, and lower root mean squared error than other prediction methods (regression, decision tree, and heuristic methods). Experiments also show that control performance can be improved with more accurate ITP predictions using the NN-C. © 2023 IEEE.

Keyword:

Decision trees Deep neural networks Forecasting Heuristic methods Mean square error

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lin, Dianchao]School of Economics and Management, Fuzhou University, Fujian, China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Li]School of Civil Engineering, Fuzhou University, Fujian, China
  • [ 3 ] [Xue, Nian]New York University, Tandon School of Engineering, Department of Computer Science and Engineering, NY, United States
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Lei]College of Transport and Communications, Shanghai Maritime University, Shanghai, China
  • [ 5 ] [Wang, Lei]Tongji University, Key Laboratory of Road and Traffic Engineering of the Ministry of Education, Shanghai, China

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ISSN: 2153-0009

Year: 2023

Page: 67-72

Language: English

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV: 4

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