• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
成果搜索

author:

Guo, Jianhong (Guo, Jianhong.) [1] | Li, Tianci (Li, Tianci.) [2] | Huang, Yingyi (Huang, Yingyi.) [3] | Chang, Chejung (Chang, Chejung.) [4]

Indexed by:

SCIE

Abstract:

During the Covid-19 pandemic, the e-commerce service industry has played a significant role in ensuring the development of e-commerce and promoting the innovation of new business models. Grasping the trend of the future development of the e-commerce service industry leads to pushing the government to formulate industrial development strategies and to ensure the rapid recovery of the post-epidemic economy. This paper proposes a Multi-Model Grey Fusion (MGF) procedure to solve the reliability and robustness problems of predicting the future trend of the e-commerce service induslly. The experimental results show that MGF peforms well in handling the small data prediction problem and that it is more reliable and robust than the four single-base models, which are the grey model, linear regression, back-propagation neural network, and support vector regression. The forecast by combining the MGF with the rol/ingframework shows that China's e-commerce service industJy will keep an excellent development momentum. Moreover, the market size is expected to reach RMB 8. 78 trillion by 2025, with an average annual growth rate of 8.8%.

Keyword:

E-commerce Service Industry Forecasting Fusion Procedure Grey Theory

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Guo, Jianhong]Quanzhou Normal Univ, TSL Business Sch, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Tianci]Quanzhou Normal Univ, TSL Business Sch, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chang, Chejung]Quanzhou Normal Univ, TSL Business Sch, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Guo, Jianhong]Fujian Univ, Engn Res Ctr Cloud Comp Internet Things & E Comme, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chang, Chejung]Fujian Univ, Engn Res Ctr Cloud Comp Internet Things & E Comme, Quanzhou 362000, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Li, Tianci]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Adv Mfg, Quanzhou 362251, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Huang, Yingyi]NingboTech Univ, Sch Business, Ningbo 315100, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Related Article:

Source :

JOURNAL OF GREY SYSTEM

ISSN: 0957-3720

Year: 2023

Issue: 3

Volume: 35

Page: 18-26

1 . 0

JCR@2023

1 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

JCR Journal Grade:4

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

Online/Total:906/10397846
Address:FZU Library(No.2 Xuyuan Road, Fuzhou, Fujian, PRC Post Code:350116) Contact Us:0591-22865326
Copyright:FZU Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd. 闽ICP备05005463号-1