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Abstract:
During the Covid-19 pandemic, the e-commerce service industry has played a significant role in ensuring the development of e-commerce and promoting the innovation of new business models. Grasping the trend of the future development of the e-commerce service industry leads to pushing the government to formulate industrial development strategies and to ensure the rapid recovery of the post-epidemic economy. This paper proposes a Multi-Model Grey Fusion (MGF) procedure to solve the reliability and robustness problems of predicting the future trend of the e-commerce service induslly. The experimental results show that MGF peforms well in handling the small data prediction problem and that it is more reliable and robust than the four single-base models, which are the grey model, linear regression, back-propagation neural network, and support vector regression. The forecast by combining the MGF with the rol/ingframework shows that China's e-commerce service industJy will keep an excellent development momentum. Moreover, the market size is expected to reach RMB 8. 78 trillion by 2025, with an average annual growth rate of 8.8%.
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JOURNAL OF GREY SYSTEM
ISSN: 0957-3720
Year: 2023
Issue: 3
Volume: 35
Page: 18-26
1 . 0
JCR@2023
1 . 0 0 0
JCR@2023
JCR Journal Grade:4
CAS Journal Grade:4
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 0
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