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author:

Shen, Xia (Shen, Xia.) [1] | Zhang, Xiao Hua (Zhang, Xiao Hua.) [2] | Yang, Long (Yang, Long.) [3] | Wang, Peng Fei (Wang, Peng Fei.) [4] | Zhang, Jian Feng (Zhang, Jian Feng.) [5] | Song, Shao Zheng (Song, Shao Zheng.) [6] | Jiang, Lei (Jiang, Lei.) [7]

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

This study aimed to develop and validate a predictive model of all-cause mortality risk in American adults aged >= 18 years with diabetes. 7918 participants with diabetes were enrolled from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 1999-2016 and followed for a median of 96 months. The primary study endpoint was the all-cause mortality. Predictors of all-cause mortality included age, Monocytes, Erythrocyte, creatinine, Nutrition Risk Index (NRI), neutrophils/lymphocytes (NLR), smoking habits, alcohol consumption, cardiovascular disease (CVD), urinary albumin excretion rate (UAE), and insulin use. The c-index was 0.790 (95% CI 0.779-0.801, P < 0.001) and 0.792 (95% CI: 0.776-0.808, P < 0.001) for the training and validation sets, respectively. The area under the ROC curve was 0.815, 0.814, 0.827 and 0.812, 0.818 and 0.829 for the training and validation sets at 3, 5, and 10 years of follow-up, respectively. Both calibration plots and DCA curves performed well. The model provides accurate predictions of the risk of death for American persons with diabetes and its scores can effectively determine the risk of death in outpatients, providing guidance for clinical decision-making and predicting prognosis for patients.

Keyword:

Diabetes LASSO regression Mortality NHANES Nomogram

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Shen, Xia]Wuxi Taihu Univ, Sch Hlth & Nursing, Dept Nursing, 68 Qian Rong Rode, Wuxi, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhang, Xiao Hua]Wuxi Peoples Hosp, Cardiac Catheter Room,299 Qing Yang Rd, Wuxi 214000, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Yang, Long]Xinjiang Med Univ, Affiliated Hosp 1, Dept Pediat Cardiothorac Surg, 137 Li Yu Shan Rd, Urumqi 830054, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Peng Fei]Fuzhou Univ Affiliated Prov Hosp, Dept Tradit Chinese Med, 134 East St, Fuzhou 350001, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhang, Jian Feng]Taizhou Hosp Integrat Med, Res & Teaching Dept, 111 Jiang Zhou South Rd, Taizhou, Jiangsu, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Jiang, Lei]Convalescent Hosp East China, Dept Radiol, 67 Da Ji Shan, Wuxi 214065, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Song, Shao Zheng]Wuxi Taihu Univ, Sch Hlth & Nursing, Dept Basci, 68 Qian Rong Rode, Wuxi, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Jiang, Lei]Convalescent Hosp East China, Dept Radiol, 67 Da Ji Shan, Wuxi 214065, Peoples R China;;[Song, Shao Zheng]Wuxi Taihu Univ, Sch Hlth & Nursing, Dept Basci, 68 Qian Rong Rode, Wuxi, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS

ISSN: 2045-2322

Year: 2024

Issue: 1

Volume: 14

3 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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