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author:

Li, Enming (Li, Enming.) [1] | Zhang, Ning (Zhang, Ning.) [2] | Xi, Bin (Xi, Bin.) [3] | Yu, Zhi (Yu, Zhi.) [4] (Scholars:喻智) | Fissha, Yewuhalashet (Fissha, Yewuhalashet.) [5] | Taiwo, Blessing Olamide (Taiwo, Blessing Olamide.) [6] | Segarra, Pablo (Segarra, Pablo.) [7] | Feng, Haibo (Feng, Haibo.) [8] | Zhou, Jian (Zhou, Jian.) [9]

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Petroleum reservoirs are often influenced by various flow behaviours including the mixture of gas, water and oil. The gas relative permeability is used to estimate how much of the gas in the reservoir is producible at a given water saturation level. Therefore, the gas relative permeability is a significant parameter to characterize the behaviour of petroleum reservoirs. However, the measurement of gas relative permeability by traditional methods tends to be comparatively expensive and time-consuming. In the recent years, the machine learning techniques provided new alternatives for predicting the gas relative permeability. For this purpose, five new methods were proposed based on kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) technique. Five meta-heuristic algorithms were adopted to tune the model hyper-parameters of KELMs, i.e., butterfly optimization algorithm (BOA), tunicate swarm algorithm (TSA), Multi-verse optimizer (MVO), Golden jackal optimization (GJO) and Harris hawk's optimization (HHO). Five-fold cross validation was used to increase the model generalization. An extensive dataset from the experiments which contain 1024 data were taken to develop models. Four classical statistical indicators were used to measure the model performance, i.e., root mean squared error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), variance accounted for (VAF) and mean absolute error (MAE). In addition, two comprehensive manners, overall evaluation index (GI) and Taylor Diagram, were evaluated to provide overall model assessments. Proposed hybrid KELM models performed better than several other machine learning techniques. BOA-KELM model with swarm size 150 generated the best generalization for the testing set and could be recommended to predict the gas relative permeability with the same inputs used in this study. The detailed performance of BOA-KELM includes: training set (GI:0.1736; R2: 0.9902; RMSE: 0.7477; VAF: 99.0218; MAE: 10.6636), testing set (GI:0.4164; R2: 0.9789; RMSE: 0.5314; VAF: 97.8917; MAE: 4.1706). The mutual information technique was employed to examine the influence of influential factors to the model interpretation and it can be found that the gas saturation had a larger influence on the hybrid KELM models. When it was used as an individual input, the overall prediction decreased but acceptable prediction performance still can be obtained by hybrid KELM models. In the case of the gas saturation to be the only input, the best testing R2 (0.94) could be generated by MVO-KELM which is higher than the R2 from the empirical method named Corey-Brooks model and several other machine learning techniques. The main novelty of this study is that five new machine learning methods were proposed to predict the gas relative permeability and performed better than other empirical or machine learning techniques. Five new methods based on KELM were proposed to predict gas relative permeability in reservoir.Meta-heuristic algorithms were used to tune the hyper-parameters in KELM.BOA-KELM model with swarm size 150 brought the best generalization ability.Hybrid KELM models performed better than other classical and machine learning model for multi-inputs.Mutual information was used to explore the interpretation of inputs.

Keyword:

Gas relative permeability prediction Kernel Extreme Learning Machine Meta-heuristic algorithms Mutual information Petroleum reservoirs

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Li, Enming]Cent South Univ, Sch Resources & Safety Engn, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhou, Jian]Cent South Univ, Sch Resources & Safety Engn, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Li, Enming]Univ Politecn Madrid, ETSI Minas & Energia, Rios Rosas 21, Madrid 28003, Spain
  • [ 4 ] [Segarra, Pablo]Univ Politecn Madrid, ETSI Minas & Energia, Rios Rosas 21, Madrid 28003, Spain
  • [ 5 ] [Zhang, Ning]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm Sci & Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Xi, Bin]Politecn Milan, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Piazza Leonardo Vinci 32, I-20133 Milan, Italy
  • [ 7 ] [Yu, Zhi]Fuzhou Univ, Zijin Sch Geol & Min, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Fissha, Yewuhalashet]Akita Univ, Grad Sch Int Resource Sci, Dept Geosci Geotechnol & Mat Engn Resources, Akita 0108502, Japan
  • [ 9 ] [Fissha, Yewuhalashet]Aksum Univ, Dept Nutr, Tigray, Ethiopia
  • [ 10 ] [Taiwo, Blessing Olamide]Fed Univ Technol Akure, Dept Min Engn, Akure 340252, Nigeria
  • [ 11 ] [Feng, Haibo]Univ British Columbia, Dept Wood Sci, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z4, Canada

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Zhou, Jian]Cent South Univ, Sch Resources & Safety Engn, Changsha 410083, Peoples R China;;[Xi, Bin]Politecn Milan, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Piazza Leonardo Vinci 32, I-20133 Milan, Italy;;

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Source :

EARTH SCIENCE INFORMATICS

ISSN: 1865-0473

Year: 2024

Issue: 4

Volume: 17

Page: 3163-3190

2 . 7 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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