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author:

Zhao, Y. (Zhao, Y..) [1] | Cheng, S. (Cheng, S..) [2] | Gao, S. (Gao, S..) [3] | Lu, F. (Lu, F..) [4]

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Scopus

Abstract:

Accurately predicting truck origin–destination (OD) flows is essential for optimizing logistics systems and promoting coordinated regional development. Existing methods typically assume a monotonic decrease in truck OD flows with increasing geospatial distance, which oversimplifies the complex non-monotonic distribution patterns observed in practice. Moreover, these methods overlook interregional socioeconomic distances and their interaction with geospatial distances, thereby limiting the prediction accuracy and reliability. This study introduces a gravity-inspired model that integrates both geospatial and socioeconomic distances (GSD-DG) to explicitly represent their combined influence on truck OD flows. Specifically, we 1) develop a geospatial distance relation graph using the Weibull function to model the complex spatial distribution patterns of truck OD flows with varying geospatial distances; 2) propose a gravity-inspired representation learning method based on graph attention mechanism to quantify the influence of socioeconomic distance on truck OD flows; and 3) construct a deep gravity model that integrates these distances and their interactions to capture their non-linear relationship with truck OD flows. Extensive experiments on four datasets with varying spatial scale and economic development levels demonstrate that the GSD-DG model improves the robustness and prediction accuracy across diverse spatial distribution patterns, reducing RMSE by 14.2%–85.8% and MSE by 23.5%–92.5% compared to the six baseline models. Incorporating socioeconomic distance and its interaction with geospatial distance further reduces RMSE by 8.5%–36.0%. Additionally, explainable artificial intelligence techniques highlight how these distances affect truck OD flows, providing valuable policy insights for logistics planning and coordinated regional development. © 2024 The Authors

Keyword:

Geospatial distance Gravity-inspired model Heavy trucks Origin–destination flows Socioeconomic distance Spatial interaction

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhao Y.]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, 100101, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zhao Y.]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhao Y.]Geospatial Data Science Lab, Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, 53706, WI, United States
  • [ 4 ] [Cheng S.]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, 100101, China
  • [ 5 ] [Cheng S.]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
  • [ 6 ] [Gao S.]Geospatial Data Science Lab, Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, 53706, WI, United States
  • [ 7 ] [Lu F.]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, CAS, Beijing, 100101, China
  • [ 8 ] [Lu F.]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
  • [ 9 ] [Lu F.]The Academy of Digital China, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350002, China
  • [ 10 ] [Lu F.]Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing, 210023, China

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Source :

International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation

ISSN: 1569-8432

Year: 2025

Volume: 136

7 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

CAS Journal Grade:2

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WoS CC Cited Count:

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV: 0

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