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author:

Ren, Yinghua (Ren, Yinghua.) [1] | Huang, Zihan (Huang, Zihan.) [2] | Chen, Han (Chen, Han.) [3] | You, Wanhai (You, Wanhai.) [4]

Indexed by:

SSCI

Abstract:

This study investigates the dynamic return dependence between China's real estate and financial markets using a quantile coherency framework. Quantile coherency decomposes tail dependence across different frequencies, thereby capturing interdependencies across business cycles. We compare periods before and after two major shocks - the 2015 Stock Market Crash and the COVID-19 pandemic - examining both long-run and short-run dependence to reveal how extreme negative, normal, and positive market conditions reshape inter-sector linkages. To assess systemic importance, we construct quantile coherency networks to measure the overall connectedness structure across market conditions and business cycles and apply an Entropy-Weighted TOPSIS (EW-TOPSIS) method to identify key firms under varying market conditions. Our findings reveal that the 2015 crash intensified systemic co-dependence primarily in extreme negative and positive regimes, whereas the COVID-19 pandemic have stronger effects during normal and positive conditions. By effectively pinpointing systemically important firms, the EW-TOPSIS framework underscores the centrality of the banking sector and highlights the role of the real estate market as a secondary channel, especially during short-term business cycles, thereby offering guidance for targeted risk prevention strategies.

Keyword:

C58 EW-TOPSIS financial market G20 quantile dependence R31 Real estate market systemically important firm

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Ren, Yinghua]Hunan Univ, Coll Finance & Stat, Changsha, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Huang, Zihan]Hunan Univ, Coll Finance & Stat, Changsha, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Chen, Han]Hunan Univ, Coll Finance & Stat, Changsha, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Chen, Han]Hunan Univ, Coll Finance & Stat, 109 Shijiachong Rd, Changsha, Peoples R China

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Source :

APPLIED ECONOMICS

ISSN: 0003-6846

Year: 2025

1 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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