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学者姓名：葛樊亮
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Abstract ：
Human error, as a major accident causal factor, can trigger an storage tank fire accident and delay the activation of active protection. In this work, a domino-human intervention model was proposed to assess the effect of human reliability on domino fire accidents. The optimized cognitive reliability and error analysis method (CREAM) was constructed to calculate the human error probability (HEP). The dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) of the domino-human intervention model was constructed by the probability of fire escalation and HEP. Among them, the analyzed network includes an initial accident scenario and a safety barrier protection scenario. Lastly, the domino-human intervention model was applied in a case study. The application of the model is validated in the case study, which confirms that HEP can reduce storage tank safety, as well as have a delayed effect on active protection. The proposed model will serve as an assessment tool for the effect of human reliability on domino accidents.
Keyword ：
Domino fire accident Domino fire accident Dynamic Bayesian network Dynamic Bayesian network Human error probability Human error probability Human intervention Human intervention Human reliability Human reliability
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| GB/T 7714 | Li, Xin , Ge, Fanliang , Lin, Weidong et al. A risk assessment method to quantify the effect of human reliability on storage tank safety combining optimized CREAM and dynamic Bayesian network [J]. | SAFETY SCIENCE , 2025 , 185 . |
| MLA | Li, Xin et al. "A risk assessment method to quantify the effect of human reliability on storage tank safety combining optimized CREAM and dynamic Bayesian network" . | SAFETY SCIENCE 185 (2025) . |
| APA | Li, Xin , Ge, Fanliang , Lin, Weidong , Yang, Fuqiang . A risk assessment method to quantify the effect of human reliability on storage tank safety combining optimized CREAM and dynamic Bayesian network . | SAFETY SCIENCE , 2025 , 185 . |
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Flame outward radiation plays a crucial role in the risk assessment and the firefighting guidance for accidents involving multiple pool fires. However, current research primarily focuses on single pool fires, with limited studies conducted on multiple pool fires due to the complex interactions between flames. The objective of this paper is to enhance the comprehension of flame radiation from multiple pool fires, and to provide support in risk assessment during such accidents. This study presents an experimental investigation into the flame outward radiation characteristics of multiple pool fires using identical round pools (20 cm diameter) fueled with n-heptane as fire sources. A series of experiments involving double and triple pool fires were conducted by manipulating the spacing and number of fire sources. The results indicate that the flame tilt angle of multiple pool fires increases first and then stabilizes as spacing decreases. The temperature distribution observed in non-tilting flames resembles the classical plume temperature distribution observed in single fires. Furthermore, a temperature distribution expression considering the tilt angle is established for tilting flames. Finally, a weighted multi-point source radiation calculation model for multiple pool fires is proposed, where the weights are determined based on the product of quartic flame temperature and emissivity to account for different point sources' contributions. Comparisons against other models are performed using experimental data to verify the accuracy. This work presents a novel simplified approach for quantifying flame radiation emitted from multiple pool fires. © 2024
Keyword ：
Flame interactions Flame interactions Flame outward radiation Flame outward radiation Multiple pool fires Multiple pool fires Weighted multi-point source model Weighted multi-point source model
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| GB/T 7714 | Ge, F. , Qiu, T. , Ji, J. . Experimental investigation of flame outward radiation characteristics and development of a calculation model for multiple pool fires [J]. | Proceedings of the Combustion Institute , 2024 , 40 (1-4) . |
| MLA | Ge, F. et al. "Experimental investigation of flame outward radiation characteristics and development of a calculation model for multiple pool fires" . | Proceedings of the Combustion Institute 40 . 1-4 (2024) . |
| APA | Ge, F. , Qiu, T. , Ji, J. . Experimental investigation of flame outward radiation characteristics and development of a calculation model for multiple pool fires . | Proceedings of the Combustion Institute , 2024 , 40 (1-4) . |
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Urban gas pipeline networks (UGPN) provide important support for high-quality urbanization. Therefore, it is imperative to analyze and assess the potential failures of UGPN. A novel probabilistic analysis method is proposed for assessing the safety and resilience of UGPN. Firstly, Bow-Tie analysis is used to identify faults. Then, a four-dimensional resilience assessment network is developed. Bayesian network is utilized to model the relationship between the variables, while dynamic Bayesian network is used to consider the dynamic nature of the system. The results of the study show that the proposed model can accurately estimate faults, consequences, and influence paths. Furthermore, the resilience analysis shows that monitoring the objective conditions is crucial and that the initial failure probability of the UGPN decreases from 0.03767 % to 0.01435 % when connected to a resilience network, indicating that considering resilience can effectively improve the reliability and safety of the UGPN. Two application examples are presented in the paper to validate the functionality of the proposed model. The proposed model can be used to set the state of UGPN to predict the probability of occurrence of a specific event and its consequences and to simulate the improvement trend of UGPN based on the direction of focus of future work. © 2024 Elsevier Ltd
Keyword ：
Bayesian networks Bayesian networks Gases Gases Pipelines Pipelines Quality control Quality control Reliability analysis Reliability analysis
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| GB/T 7714 | Chen, Xing-lin , Huang, Zong-hou , Ge, Fan-liang et al. A probabilistic analysis method for evaluating the safety & resilience of urban gas pipeline network [J]. | Reliability Engineering and System Safety , 2024 , 248 . |
| MLA | Chen, Xing-lin et al. "A probabilistic analysis method for evaluating the safety & resilience of urban gas pipeline network" . | Reliability Engineering and System Safety 248 (2024) . |
| APA | Chen, Xing-lin , Huang, Zong-hou , Ge, Fan-liang , Lin, Wei-dong , Yang, Fu-qiang . A probabilistic analysis method for evaluating the safety & resilience of urban gas pipeline network . | Reliability Engineering and System Safety , 2024 , 248 . |
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The occurrence of urban gas pipeline network accidents will pose a great threat to people's lives and property. To protect the lives and property of urban residents and ensure the normal operation of the city, this paper studied the influencing factors of urban gas pipeline network accidents. Firstly, the influencing factors of urban gas pipeline network accidents were summarized and the corresponding fishbone diagram was constructed following the data from the U.S. Department of Transportation Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration. Secondly, based on the determined accident number model, the corresponding Bayesian network model was constructed to calculate the state probability and the sensitivity value. Finally, according to the relevant information of urban gas pipeline network management, combined with the numerical results of priori probability and sensitivity, an emergency linkage system based on the urban gas pipeline network was constructed. The calculation results of state probability and the sensitivity analysis indicate that corrosion is the most influential factor contributing to accidents in the urban gas pipeline network. The temperature change has the greatest influence on the occurrence of urban gas pipeline network accidents. Special attention should be paid to the prevention and management of these two aspects of the emergency linkage system. Besides, in order to verify the effectiveness of the system, this paper also uses AHP to evaluate the application of the system. This study aims to provide valuable insights for enhancing the safety management of urban gas pipeline networks, thereby elevating their safety management standards. © 2024 Elsevier Ltd
Keyword ：
Accident emergency linkage system Accident emergency linkage system Bayesian network Bayesian network emergency management emergency management Safety management Safety management Urban gas pipeline network accident Urban gas pipeline network accident
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| GB/T 7714 | Li, S.-Y. , Huang, Z.-H. , Ge, F.-L. et al. An emergency linkage system of urban gas pipeline network based on Bayesian network [J]. | Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries , 2024 , 92 . |
| MLA | Li, S.-Y. et al. "An emergency linkage system of urban gas pipeline network based on Bayesian network" . | Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries 92 (2024) . |
| APA | Li, S.-Y. , Huang, Z.-H. , Ge, F.-L. , Lin, W.-D. , Yang, F.-Q. . An emergency linkage system of urban gas pipeline network based on Bayesian network . | Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries , 2024 , 92 . |
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Pool fires are the most prevalent accidents in the process industry. Revealing the physical mechanism of pool fire has both fundamental and practical applications in process safety and risk analysis. This paper intends to study the radiation blockage phenomenon caused by fuel vapor and flame in pool fires. Combustion and evaporation (non-combustion) experiments under different external radiative heat fluxes have been conducted to differentiate the radiation blockage of the fuel vapor and the flame. Four different sooting fuels including methanol, ethanol, n-heptane and toluene were used in the experiments. The radiation blockage of fuel vapor was determined through evaporation experiments. The radiation blockage of flame and the total radiation blockage of pool fires were investigated by burning experiments. Based on the assumptions of radiation gray for flame radiation and external radiation, the effective radiation blockage was determined. It is found that the effective radiation blockage coefficient of the fuel vapor increases with fuel mass flux first, and then gradually approaches a constant value because the radiation absorption capacity of the fuel vapor tends to saturate with the increase of fuel mass flux. The correlations between the fuel vapor radiation blockage coefficient and fuel mass flux are established based on theoretical analysis and experimental data. Moreover, the flame blockage coefficient decreases with external radiation for methanol, ethanol and n-heptane because the fire expands, causing enhanced radiative heat feedback from the flame. For the heavily sooting fuel, toluene, the flame radiation blockage almost remains constant with external radiation due to high soot concentrations.
Keyword ：
Fire propagation apparatus (FPA) Fire propagation apparatus (FPA) Flame radiation Flame radiation Fuel vapor layer Fuel vapor layer Pool fire Pool fire Radiation blockage Radiation blockage
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| GB/T 7714 | Ge, Fanliang , Hamins, Anthony , Qiu, Tinting et al. Experimental research on radiation blockage of the fuel vapor and flame in pool fires [J]. | PROCEEDINGS OF THE COMBUSTION INSTITUTE , 2024 , 40 (1-4) . |
| MLA | Ge, Fanliang et al. "Experimental research on radiation blockage of the fuel vapor and flame in pool fires" . | PROCEEDINGS OF THE COMBUSTION INSTITUTE 40 . 1-4 (2024) . |
| APA | Ge, Fanliang , Hamins, Anthony , Qiu, Tinting , Ji, Jie . Experimental research on radiation blockage of the fuel vapor and flame in pool fires . | PROCEEDINGS OF THE COMBUSTION INSTITUTE , 2024 , 40 (1-4) . |
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Forest fires will do great harm to the ecological environment. At present, the most important research field is the study of the causes of forest fires, and the failure to determine the causes will greatly hinder the prevention, control and safety management of forest fires. In order to solve this problem, this paper constructs a Bayesian network to calculate the state probability and sensitivity after determining the factors related to forest fire. Secondly, on the basis of constructing Bayesian network, the Bow-tie model is constructed according to the consequences of forest fire. The constructed Bow-tie model contains 7 influencing factors and 5 consequences, and 26 corresponding control measures. Finally, through the analysis of Bayesian network and bow tie model, the forest fire prevention system is constructed. According to the calculation results of the Bayesian network, the probability of forest fires being at high risk of occurrence is higher for three factors: agriculture, forestry and water expenditure, rural population density and precipitation. Changes in rural population density and humidity have the greatest impact on the occurrence of forest fires. In combination with the Bow-tie model, human factors are the most important factors leading to the occurrence of forest fires, and the material, environmental, and management factors are the secondary factors. Based on the forest control system, the prevention and management measures are put forward. This research can provide reference for the control of forest fire and reduce the occurrence of similar forest fires.
Keyword ：
Bayesian network Bayesian network Bow-tie model Bow-tie model Causal analysis Causal analysis Forest fire Forest fire Management measures Management measures
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| GB/T 7714 | Li, Shi-yi , Li, Xin , Yang, Fu-qiang et al. Etiological study on forest fire accidents using Bow-tie model and Bayesian network [J]. | NATURAL HAZARDS , 2024 , 120 (13) : 12427-12449 . |
| MLA | Li, Shi-yi et al. "Etiological study on forest fire accidents using Bow-tie model and Bayesian network" . | NATURAL HAZARDS 120 . 13 (2024) : 12427-12449 . |
| APA | Li, Shi-yi , Li, Xin , Yang, Fu-qiang , Ge, Fan-liang . Etiological study on forest fire accidents using Bow-tie model and Bayesian network . | NATURAL HAZARDS , 2024 , 120 (13) , 12427-12449 . |
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为研究半横向通风下隧道内发生火灾时,顶棚有效高度对顶棚烟气温度分布的影响,建立1∶10的缩尺寸隧道模型进行试验.在半横向通风方式下,通过改变通风风速、油池尺寸和顶棚有效高度等参数,分析燃料顶棚烟气最高温升的变化规律和顶棚烟气温度的纵向分布特征.结果表明,随着顶棚有效高度的增加,顶棚最高温升逐渐降低,而且隧道顶棚烟气温度纵向衰减更加显著;同时,风速的增加导致顶棚最高温升大幅下降,相较于纵向通风,半横向通风下顶棚最高温升明显偏小,顶棚烟气温度纵向衰减更明显.据此提出新的考虑通风风速、顶棚有效高度和火源功率的无量纲最高顶棚温升和顶棚烟气温度纵向衰减的经验模型.
Keyword ：
半横向通风 半横向通风 烟气温度 烟气温度 隧道火灾 隧道火灾 顶棚有效高度 顶棚有效高度
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| GB/T 7714 | 郑家辉 , 郑雨航 , 葛樊亮 et al. 半横向通风下顶棚有效高度对隧道烟气温度的影响 [J]. | 福州大学学报（自然科学版） , 2024 , 52 (5) : 612-618 . |
| MLA | 郑家辉 et al. "半横向通风下顶棚有效高度对隧道烟气温度的影响" . | 福州大学学报（自然科学版） 52 . 5 (2024) : 612-618 . |
| APA | 郑家辉 , 郑雨航 , 葛樊亮 , 杨健 . 半横向通风下顶棚有效高度对隧道烟气温度的影响 . | 福州大学学报（自然科学版） , 2024 , 52 (5) , 612-618 . |
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为科学评估高校实验室事故应急处置能力，文章基于霍尔三维模型，构建了高校实验室应急能力评估指标体系；采用G1序关系法和熵权法组合赋权确定各级指标权重，并提出了高校实验室应急能力评估组合赋权云模型。以某高校为研究对象，应用组合赋权云模型对该校实验室事故应急处置能力进行综合评估的结果表明，该方法能较好地解决评估过程模糊性与随机性强的问题，客观评估高校实验室应急能力水平，为提升高校实验室应急能力提供科学参考。
Keyword ：
G1序关系法 G1序关系法 云模型 云模型 应急能力评估 应急能力评估 熵权法 熵权法 高校实验室 高校实验室
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| GB/T 7714 | 阳富强 , 刘卫东 , 葛樊亮 et al. 高校实验室应急能力评估指标体系构建与应用 [J]. | 化工高等教育 , 2024 , 41 (05) : 129-139 . |
| MLA | 阳富强 et al. "高校实验室应急能力评估指标体系构建与应用" . | 化工高等教育 41 . 05 (2024) : 129-139 . |
| APA | 阳富强 , 刘卫东 , 葛樊亮 , 黄宗侯 . 高校实验室应急能力评估指标体系构建与应用 . | 化工高等教育 , 2024 , 41 (05) , 129-139 . |
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The occurrence of urban gas pipeline network accidents will pose a great threat to people's lives and property. To protect the lives and property of urban residents and ensure the normal operation of the city, this paper studied the influencing factors of urban gas pipeline network accidents. Firstly, the influencing factors of urban gas pipeline network accidents were summarized and the corresponding fishbone diagram was constructed following the data from the U.S. Department of Transportation Pipeline and Hazardous Materials Safety Administration. Secondly, based on the determined accident number model, the corresponding Bayesian network model was constructed to calculate the state probability and the sensitivity value. Finally, according to the relevant information of urban gas pipeline network management, combined with the numerical results of priori probability and sensitivity, an emergency linkage system based on the urban gas pipeline network was constructed. The calculation results of state probability and the sensitivity analysis indicate that corrosion is the most influential factor contributing to accidents in the urban gas pipeline network. The temperature change has the greatest influence on the occurrence of urban gas pipeline network accidents. Special attention should be paid to the prevention and management of these two aspects of the emergency linkage system. Besides, in order to verify the effectiveness of the system, this paper also uses AHP to evaluate the application of the system. This study aims to provide valuable insights for enhancing the safety management of urban gas pipeline networks, thereby elevating their safety management standards.
Keyword ：
Accident emergency linkage system Accident emergency linkage system Bayesian network Bayesian network emergency management emergency management Safety management Safety management Urban gas pipeline network accident Urban gas pipeline network accident
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| GB/T 7714 | Li, Shi-yi , Huang, Zong-hou , Ge, Fan-liang et al. An emergency linkage system of urban gas pipeline network based on Bayesian network [J]. | JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES , 2024 , 92 . |
| MLA | Li, Shi-yi et al. "An emergency linkage system of urban gas pipeline network based on Bayesian network" . | JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES 92 (2024) . |
| APA | Li, Shi-yi , Huang, Zong-hou , Ge, Fan-liang , Lin, Wei-dong , Yang, Fu-qiang . An emergency linkage system of urban gas pipeline network based on Bayesian network . | JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES , 2024 , 92 . |
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应急演练在提高实验室应对突发事件能力方面发挥着重要作用，应急演练脚本是实施应急演练的重要依据，该文提出利用情景构建技术开展应急演练脚本设计。结合对以往演练的梳理、经验总结和实际案例分析，基于情景构建技术提出高校实验室爆炸事故应急演练场景规划构思与构建设计的具体内容，梳理总结出高校实验室应急演练的组织架构和分工，具体描述了高校实验室爆炸事故的演变过程，生成了基于实际案例的实验室爆炸事故应急演练脚本。实验室应急演练脚本提供了实验室爆炸事故的应急场景，可用于实际模拟演练或虚拟演练，并可结合不同案例形成实验室应急演练脚本库，为实验室应急演练提供支持。
Keyword ：
应急演练 应急演练 情景构建 情景构建 爆炸事故 爆炸事故 突发事件 突发事件 高校实验室 高校实验室
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| GB/T 7714 | 阳富强 , 陈星霖 , 程硕 et al. 基于情景构建的高校实验室爆炸事故应急演练与实践 [J]. | 实验技术与管理 , 2024 , 41 (02) : 263-269 . |
| MLA | 阳富强 et al. "基于情景构建的高校实验室爆炸事故应急演练与实践" . | 实验技术与管理 41 . 02 (2024) : 263-269 . |
| APA | 阳富强 , 陈星霖 , 程硕 , 葛樊亮 . 基于情景构建的高校实验室爆炸事故应急演练与实践 . | 实验技术与管理 , 2024 , 41 (02) , 263-269 . |
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