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学者姓名：蔡乌赶
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Abstract ：
碳交易是实现“双碳”目标和驱动经济高质量发展的重要政策工具。文章研究了碳交易制度下，处于不完全竞争市场企业的低碳技术创新决策问题。通过构建市场势力差异下企业的低碳技术创新策略和末端治理策略选择随机演化博弈模型，分析随机干扰、创新成本和遵规成本对主导企业和边缘企业策略选择的影响。理论分析和仿真结果表明，市场势力影响环境规制的低碳技术创新效应；引入碳交易制度后，不同市场势力企业的低碳技术创新策略选择存在差异，主导企业更倾向低碳技术创新策略，创新成本对其策略选择的影响最明显；边缘企业在一定条件下偏向低碳技术创新策略，但容易因强随机干扰、高创新成本和高遵规成本而偏离；研发外溢为0.7的适度水平有利于激励边缘企业采用低碳技术创新策略。文章的研究结论为政府完善碳交易制度、制定企业低碳技术创新激励政策提供启示。
Keyword ：
低碳技术创新 低碳技术创新 市场势力 市场势力 碳交易 碳交易 随机演化博弈 随机演化博弈
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| GB/T 7714 | 蔡乌赶 , 许凤茹 . 碳交易制度下企业低碳技术创新的激励研究 [J]. | 管理现代化 , 2024 , 44 (03) : 110-117 . |
| MLA | 蔡乌赶 等. "碳交易制度下企业低碳技术创新的激励研究" . | 管理现代化 44 . 03 (2024) : 110-117 . |
| APA | 蔡乌赶 , 许凤茹 . 碳交易制度下企业低碳技术创新的激励研究 . | 管理现代化 , 2024 , 44 (03) , 110-117 . |
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境外经贸合作区作为联通中外企业的重要载体和集聚平台，对拉动中国贸易增长至关重要。选取2004—2020年跨国面板数据，采用多期DID模型研究境外经贸合作区对中国贸易规模的事后影响，并运用GTAP模型对中国境外经贸合作区的贸易效应进行事前预测。研究结果显示：境外经贸合作区显著推动了中国贸易规模增长，且主要通过就业创造效应、制度优化效应与产业集聚效应提升中国贸易规模。境外经贸合作区不仅有助于扩大中国贸易规模、优化贸易结构与贸易条件，还将通过提升经济增长速度、改善居民福利水平和增加总产出间接推动中国贸易发展。
Keyword ：
GTAP模型 GTAP模型 中国境外经贸合作区 中国境外经贸合作区 多期DID模型 多期DID模型 贸易效应 贸易效应
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| GB/T 7714 | 蔡乌赶 , 邱溢梅 , 周瑜辉 . 中国境外经贸合作区的贸易效应研究——基于事前与事后的双重维度检验 [J]. | 福州大学学报(哲学社会科学版) , 2024 , 38 (01) : 58-68 . |
| MLA | 蔡乌赶 等. "中国境外经贸合作区的贸易效应研究——基于事前与事后的双重维度检验" . | 福州大学学报(哲学社会科学版) 38 . 01 (2024) : 58-68 . |
| APA | 蔡乌赶 , 邱溢梅 , 周瑜辉 . 中国境外经贸合作区的贸易效应研究——基于事前与事后的双重维度检验 . | 福州大学学报(哲学社会科学版) , 2024 , 38 (01) , 58-68 . |
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将用能权及碳排放权的初始分配置于同一分析框架下，构建考虑区域技术异质性的零和DEA(data envelopment analysis)模型，进而得出兼顾经济效率与社会公平的我国2025年用能权及碳排放权初始分配方案。结果表明：我国区域发展不平衡特征明显，忽略技术水平的差距将形成对技术落后省市的“拔苗助长”效应；特别是对于产业发展不平衡地区，在DEA模型的产出处理中应适当提高第二产业增加值的比重；大部分地区总体效率的提升应得益于节能与减排的“双管齐下”,而部分地区则应有所侧重；考虑技术异质性的零和DEA模型“熨平”了各省市节能减排系数的波动，同时也改善了传统零和DEA模型对前沿技术效率的“牺牲”问题。
Keyword ：
初始分配 初始分配 技术异质性 技术异质性 用能权 用能权 碳排放权 碳排放权 零和DEA 零和DEA
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| GB/T 7714 | 叶沛筠 , 蔡乌赶 , 周瑜辉 . 技术异质性视角下我国区域用能权与碳排放权初始分配研究 [J]. | 软科学 , 2023 , 37 (11) : 114-121 . |
| MLA | 叶沛筠 等. "技术异质性视角下我国区域用能权与碳排放权初始分配研究" . | 软科学 37 . 11 (2023) : 114-121 . |
| APA | 叶沛筠 , 蔡乌赶 , 周瑜辉 . 技术异质性视角下我国区域用能权与碳排放权初始分配研究 . | 软科学 , 2023 , 37 (11) , 114-121 . |
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人口问题和环境问题已经成为人类社会面临的重大挑战。人口老龄化已成为中国长期不可逆转的趋势，其对家庭碳排放的影响不容忽视。基于消费者生活方式方法(CLA)理论框架，文章采用中国家庭追踪调查数据库(CFPS)数据，运用最小二乘法和工具变量法，从微观家庭的视角探究人口老龄化对家庭碳排放的影响。结果表明：人口老龄化通过降低家庭消费规模、改变家庭消费结构及消费偏好，进而影响家庭碳排放，总体而言，人口老龄化对家庭碳排放的净效应为正；家庭成员间的决策互动将决定人口老龄化对家庭碳排放的影响程度，在户主为老年人的家庭中，老龄化对碳排放的促进作用更为显著；人口老龄化对碳排放的影响存在城乡和地区差异。
Keyword ：
CFPS CFPS CLA理论框架 CLA理论框架 人口老龄化 人口老龄化 家庭碳排放 家庭碳排放
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| GB/T 7714 | 蔡乌赶 , 林晓雯 . 人口老龄化对家庭碳排放的影响——来自中国微观家庭的证据 [J]. | 江南大学学报(人文社会科学版) , 2023 , 22 (02) : 18-28,51 . |
| MLA | 蔡乌赶 等. "人口老龄化对家庭碳排放的影响——来自中国微观家庭的证据" . | 江南大学学报(人文社会科学版) 22 . 02 (2023) : 18-28,51 . |
| APA | 蔡乌赶 , 林晓雯 . 人口老龄化对家庭碳排放的影响——来自中国微观家庭的证据 . | 江南大学学报(人文社会科学版) , 2023 , 22 (02) , 18-28,51 . |
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Making environmental regulation (ER) in line with local development reality is the key to promoting regional coordinated development. Current research mainly concentrates on the overall effect of ER or the policy effect of some specific regulations. In reality, the ERs are not always one-size-fits-all, and the evaluation of the biased ER???s effect is mostly overlooked. This paper takes the biased energy-saving policy (BESP) of 13th Five Year Plan as an example and identifies the impact of the BESP on enterprises??? total factor productivity (TFP) based on a Difference-in-Difference model. Our results suggest that the BESP has significant promotion on the enterprises??? TFP. When considering the heterogeneity of enterprise and industrial characteristics, it can be found that large-scale, state-owned enterprises as well as enterprises with capital-intensive show more significant promotion effect from the BESP. Moreover, enterprises in high-energy consumption and low-tech industries also reveal more significant policy effect. Further, the results of the mechanism analysis indicate that the BESP promotes the enterprises' TFP mainly through enhancing technical-focused investment preference and narrowing technical gap within the industry. Our research fills the gap in the study of biased ER, which provides a new orientation for realizing the carbon neutrality goal.
Keyword ：
biased energy-saving policy biased energy-saving policy Difference-in-Difference Difference-in-Difference investment preference investment preference technical gap technical gap total factor productivity total factor productivity
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| GB/T 7714 | Cai, Wugan , Zhou, Yuhui , Ye, Peiyun . Can Biased Energy-Saving Policy Improve Enterprises' Total Factor Productivity? Evidence from China [J]. | POLISH JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES , 2022 , 31 (6) : 5583-5598 . |
| MLA | Cai, Wugan 等. "Can Biased Energy-Saving Policy Improve Enterprises' Total Factor Productivity? Evidence from China" . | POLISH JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES 31 . 6 (2022) : 5583-5598 . |
| APA | Cai, Wugan , Zhou, Yuhui , Ye, Peiyun . Can Biased Energy-Saving Policy Improve Enterprises' Total Factor Productivity? Evidence from China . | POLISH JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES , 2022 , 31 (6) , 5583-5598 . |
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在明晰中国工业韧性内涵和外延的基础上，构建科学合理的工业韧性评价指标体系，运用纵横向拉开档次法和定基功效系数法测算2007～2019年中国各省份工业韧性综合指数，并进行动态演进和空间分布特征分析。研究发现：中国工业具有较强的韧性水平并呈逐年递增趋势，再组织力维度对工业韧性提升的贡献度最大，创新力次之；中国工业韧性综合指数具有显著、稳定的正向空间集聚特点；中国工业韧性呈现出明显的区域差异，东部地区的工业韧性水平最高，中部地区次之，东北和西部地区紧随其后，恢复力、再组织力和创新力的区域差异是造成工业韧性不平衡的主要原因。鉴于此，应提升产业链与创新链的融合度，针对性制定差异化的工业发展政策，推动省际合作，以实现工业韧性提升与均衡发展。
Keyword ：
动态演进 动态演进 “四力”指标体系 “四力”指标体系 工业韧性 工业韧性 空间分布特征 空间分布特征
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| GB/T 7714 | 蔡乌赶 , 许凤茹 . 中国工业韧性的测度及时空演变特征研究 [J]. | 经济体制改革 , 2022 , 8 (06) : 90-97 . |
| MLA | 蔡乌赶 等. "中国工业韧性的测度及时空演变特征研究" . | 经济体制改革 8 . 06 (2022) : 90-97 . |
| APA | 蔡乌赶 , 许凤茹 . 中国工业韧性的测度及时空演变特征研究 . | 经济体制改革 , 2022 , 8 (06) , 90-97 . |
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With the growing severe challenges of the climate change, improving low-carbon technical efficiency (LTE) is considered as the most important way to facilitate the low-carbon development. Whether or not China's carbon emission trading (CET) can facilitate the LTE deserves deep exploration. Through the introduction of a more scientific semi-disposability assumption for undesirable output, this paper first calculates China's provincial LTE based on a non-radial and non-oriented data envelopment analysis (DEA) method and analyses the reasons for inefficiency. Furthermore, we explore the impacts and mechanisms of CET on the LTE using augmented difference in differences (augmented DID) model. The results show that China's provincial LTE is not satisfactory which presents a downward trend after experiencing a transient rise. The insufficient low carbon innovation output is the crucial impeding the LTE. The implement the CET pilots has improved the LTE and the promotion effect are mainly through strengthening innovation support and capital concentration, while the mediating effects of innovation synergy degree and talents concentration are not significant. Therefore, it is essential for the Chinese government to push forward the scientific construction of national carbon trading market rather than increase the inputs blindly, so as to stimulate the innovative vitality of enterprises as innovation subjects. (C) 2021 Institution of Chemical Engineers. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Keyword ：
Augmented difference in differences Augmented difference in differences Carbon emission trading Carbon emission trading Low-carbon technical efficiency Low-carbon technical efficiency Semi-disposability Semi-disposability
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| GB/T 7714 | Cai, Wugan , Ye, Peiyun . Does carbon emission trading improve low-carbon technical efficiency? Evidence from China [J]. | SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION , 2022 , 29 : 46-56 . |
| MLA | Cai, Wugan 等. "Does carbon emission trading improve low-carbon technical efficiency? Evidence from China" . | SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION 29 (2022) : 46-56 . |
| APA | Cai, Wugan , Ye, Peiyun . Does carbon emission trading improve low-carbon technical efficiency? Evidence from China . | SUSTAINABLE PRODUCTION AND CONSUMPTION , 2022 , 29 , 46-56 . |
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The Green industrial policy is implemented to promote the coordinative development of the environment and industry, while there has been limited research involved in the policy effect evaluation. Taking China's Green Manufacturing Engineering Implementation Guide (GMEIG) released especially for manufacturing industry in 2016 as a quasi-natural experiment, this paper identifies the policy effect on the total factor productivity (TFP) of manufacturing enterprises, and the mechanisms and heterogeneities are further evaluated. The baseline results show that green industrial policy has significant promotion on the TFP of manufacturing enterprises. The mechanism is analyzed from two perspectives, including incentive effect and supervision effect. Moreover, mediating effects of different time points of government subsidy are investigated within the incentive effect. The results reveal that GMEIG promotes the TFP of manufacturing enterprises through incentive effect and the promotion on enterprises' TFP mainly benefits from government subsidies afterwards rather than government subsidies beforehand. When considering the heterogeneity at regional, industrial and enterprise levels, the policy effect is more significant in non-state-owned enterprises, as well as enterprises with smaller scale. What is more, market competitiveness is conducive to the promotion on enterprises' TFP, while current level of green preference fails to positively moderate the policy effect. This study provides theoretical and empirical support for the construction of green industrial policy and further facilitates China's green development.
Keyword ：
Difference in difference model Difference in difference model Government subsidies Government subsidies Green industrial policy Green industrial policy Manufacturing enterprises Manufacturing enterprises Total factor productivity Total factor productivity
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| GB/T 7714 | Ye, Peiyun , Cai, Wugan , Zhou, Yuhui . Can green industrial policy promote the total factor productivity of manufacturing enterprises? [J]. | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH , 2022 , 29 (58) : 88041-88054 . |
| MLA | Ye, Peiyun 等. "Can green industrial policy promote the total factor productivity of manufacturing enterprises?" . | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH 29 . 58 (2022) : 88041-88054 . |
| APA | Ye, Peiyun , Cai, Wugan , Zhou, Yuhui . Can green industrial policy promote the total factor productivity of manufacturing enterprises? . | ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCE AND POLLUTION RESEARCH , 2022 , 29 (58) , 88041-88054 . |
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Green innovation is the key measure to improve environmental efficiency and enhance environmental protection, but it is difficult to effectively drive green innovation only relying on the market mechanism. Therefore, exploring how to motivate green innovation through environmental instruments is essential for the sustainable development. Applying a spatial econometric model to panel data of 285 prefecture-level cities in China, this study estimates the dynamic impacts of the command and control and market-based instruments on green innovation, taking into account regional and innovation type heterogeneity. The results of the spatial econometric analysis show that the command and control instrument inhibits green innovation in the current period. Moreover, while the market-based instrument has no significant effect on green innovation in the current period, it significantly induces green innovation in the lagging period, which supports the Porter hypothesis. The sub-sample regression results reveal that the market-based instrument only induces green utility model which is less innovative both in the central and western regions. In addition, the market mechanism in the western regions should be improved. Finally, policy recommendations for the government are presented to improve China's environmental instrument system to promote green innovation. This study fills the gap in the literature by comparing the effects of command and control and market-based instruments, especially in developing countries.
Keyword ：
command and control instrument command and control instrument green innovation green innovation market-based instrument market-based instrument prefecture-level cities prefecture-level cities spatial metrology spatial metrology
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| GB/T 7714 | Cai, Wugan , Ye, Peiyun . INFLUENCE OF DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTAL INSTRUMENTS ON GREEN INNOVATION: EVIDENCE FROM 285 CITIES OF CHINA [J]. | ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT JOURNAL , 2021 , 20 (8) : 1213-1223 . |
| MLA | Cai, Wugan 等. "INFLUENCE OF DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTAL INSTRUMENTS ON GREEN INNOVATION: EVIDENCE FROM 285 CITIES OF CHINA" . | ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT JOURNAL 20 . 8 (2021) : 1213-1223 . |
| APA | Cai, Wugan , Ye, Peiyun . INFLUENCE OF DIFFERENT ENVIRONMENTAL INSTRUMENTS ON GREEN INNOVATION: EVIDENCE FROM 285 CITIES OF CHINA . | ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT JOURNAL , 2021 , 20 (8) , 1213-1223 . |
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Green innovation is the key to solve increasingly serious environmental problems. Previous studies mainly focus on the effects of environmental regulations (ERs) on local green innovation while little research has paid attention to the effects of ERs in neighborhood, and the impact mechanism remains unclear. Actually, the green innovation in a region may depend on the superposition effects of local and neighboring ERs. This study proposes a theoretical framework of local-neighborhood effects of ERs on green innovation, and empirically tests the effects and mechanisms based on an examination of 274 prefecture level cities of China, with different ERs and regions taken into consideration. The results show regional differences in the local-neighborhood effects of different ERs on green innovation and further identify the optimum regional ERs intensity. Moreover, it is also discovered that areas with high intensity of ERs will foster the regional transfer of industries and human capital, and further affect green innovation in neighboring areas. Both command and control regulation and market-based regulation restrain green innovation in neighborhood through industrial transfer with the peak at 400 and 600 km economic urban circles, respectively. And the human capital is found significantly negative in neighborhood effect of market-based regulation within the 600 km scope. This study fills a gap in the literature of local-neighborhood effects of different ERs on green innovation, which is an extending of Porter Hypothesis and will be of great significance for regionally coordinated green innovation promotion.
Keyword ：
Command and control regulation Command and control regulation Green innovation Green innovation Local-neighborhood effects Local-neighborhood effects Market-based regulation Market-based regulation Spatial Durbin Model Spatial Durbin Model
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| GB/T 7714 | Cai, Wugan , Ye, Peiyun . Local-neighborhood effects of different environmental regulations on green innovation: evidence from prefecture level cities of China [J]. | ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY , 2021 , 24 (4) : 4810-4834 . |
| MLA | Cai, Wugan 等. "Local-neighborhood effects of different environmental regulations on green innovation: evidence from prefecture level cities of China" . | ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY 24 . 4 (2021) : 4810-4834 . |
| APA | Cai, Wugan , Ye, Peiyun . Local-neighborhood effects of different environmental regulations on green innovation: evidence from prefecture level cities of China . | ENVIRONMENT DEVELOPMENT AND SUSTAINABILITY , 2021 , 24 (4) , 4810-4834 . |
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