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author:

Wang, Ningli (Wang, Ningli.) [1] | You, Wanhai (You, Wanhai.) [2] (Scholars:游万海) | Peng, Cheng (Peng, Cheng.) [3]

Indexed by:

SSCI EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

This paper investigates the heterogeneous risk spillovers from crude oil to regional natural gas markets against the background of the North American shale gas revolution. The market risks are measured by the upside and downside VaR. We first confirm the existence of risk spillovers between oil and gas markets by using Granger causality in risk. Then, we employ the MVMQ-CAViaR model to reveal the tail-dependence patterns and propose the performance test to highlight the accuracy of the model for the construction of VaR. Furthermore, we construct quantile impulse-response functions and identify asymmetric features in the magnitude, duration, and direction of response by gas markets to extreme negative and positive oil price shocks. Our results show that the revolution actually affects the risk spillovers from oil to gas markets and exhibits the time-varying property. And the heterogeneous risk-transmission mechanisms depend on the regional characteristics and specific market scenarios. Finally, policy implications are discussed.

Keyword:

crude oil natural gas Risk spillovers shale gas revolution upside and downside VaR

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Ningli]Tsinghua Univ, Sch Social Sci, Inst Econ, Beijing, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Ningli]Hunan Univ, Coll Business Adm, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Peng, Cheng]Guangdong Univ Finance, Dept Appl Math, Guangzhou, Guangdong, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 游万海

    [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENERGY SOURCES PART B-ECONOMICS PLANNING AND POLICY

ISSN: 1556-7249

Year: 2019

Issue: 6

Volume: 14

Page: 215-234

1 . 7 5 8

JCR@2019

3 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:150

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 5

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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