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author:

Wang, Jiao (Wang, Jiao.) [1] | Jia, Peng (Jia, Peng.) [2] | Cuadros, Diego F. (Cuadros, Diego F..) [3] | Xu, Min (Xu, Min.) [4] | Wang, Xianliang (Wang, Xianliang.) [5] | Guo, Weidong (Guo, Weidong.) [6] | Portnov, Boris A. (Portnov, Boris A..) [7] | Bao, Yuhai (Bao, Yuhai.) [8] | Chang, Yushan (Chang, Yushan.) [9] | Song, Genxin (Song, Genxin.) [10] | Chen, Nan (Chen, Nan.) [11] (Scholars:陈楠) | Stein, Alfred (Stein, Alfred.) [12]

Indexed by:

SSCI EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Remote sensing technologies can accurately capture environmental characteristics, and together with environmental modeling approaches, help to predict climate-sensitive infectious disease outbreaks. Brucellosis remains rampant worldwide in both domesticated animals and humans. This study used human brucellosis (HB) as a test case to identify important environmental determinants of the disease and predict its outbreaks. A novel artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed, using annual county-level numbers of HB cases and data on 37 environmental variables, potentially associated with HB in Inner Mongolia, China. Data from 2006 to 2008 were used to train, validate and test the model, while data for 2009-2010 were used to assess the model's performance. The Enhanced Vegetation Index was identified as the most important predictor of HB incidence, followed by land surface temperature and other temperature- and precipitation-related variables. The suitable ecological niche of HB was modeled based on these predictors. Model estimates were found to be in good agreement with reported numbers of HB cases in both the model development and assessment phases. The study suggests that HB outbreaks may be predicted, with a reasonable degree of accuracy, using the ANN model and environmental variables obtained from satellite data. The study deepened the understanding of environmental determinants of HB and advanced the methodology for prediction of climate-sensitive infectious disease outbreaks.

Keyword:

artificial neural network (ANN) brucellosis climate-sensitive disease outbreak prediction environmental health infectious disease Inner Mongolia remote sensing

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wang, Jiao]Henan Univ, Key Lab Geospatial Technol Middle & Lower Yellow, Minist Educ, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Song, Genxin]Henan Univ, Key Lab Geospatial Technol Middle & Lower Yellow, Minist Educ, Kaifeng 475004, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Jiao]Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Environm Hlth, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Xianliang]Chinese Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Natl Inst Environm Hlth, Beijing 100021, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Jia, Peng]Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, Dept Earth Observat Sci, NL-7500 Enschede, Netherlands
  • [ 6 ] [Stein, Alfred]Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, Dept Earth Observat Sci, NL-7500 Enschede, Netherlands
  • [ 7 ] [Cuadros, Diego F.]Univ Cincinnati, Dept Geog & Geog Informat Sci, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA
  • [ 8 ] [Cuadros, Diego F.]Univ Cincinnati, Hlth Geog & Dis Modeling Lab, Cincinnati, OH 45221 USA
  • [ 9 ] [Xu, Min]Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Remote Sensing & Digital Earth, State Key Lab Remote Sensing Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Guo, Weidong]Inner Mongolia Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Hohhot 010031, Peoples R China
  • [ 11 ] [Portnov, Boris A.]Univ Haifa, Dept Nat Resources & Environm Management, Fac Management, IL-3498838 Haifa, Israel
  • [ 12 ] [Bao, Yuhai]Inner Mongolia Normal Univ, Inner Mongolian Key Lab Remote Sensing & GIS, Hohhot 010022, Peoples R China
  • [ 13 ] [Chang, Yushan]Inner Mongolia Normal Univ, Inner Mongolian Key Lab Remote Sensing & GIS, Hohhot 010022, Peoples R China
  • [ 14 ] [Chen, Nan]Fuzhou Univ, Key Lab Spatial Data Min & Informat Sharing, Minist Educ, Fuzhou 350003, Fujian, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Jia, Peng]Univ Twente, Fac Geoinformat Sci & Earth Observat, Dept Earth Observat Sci, NL-7500 Enschede, Netherlands

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Source :

REMOTE SENSING

ISSN: 2072-4292

Year: 2017

Issue: 10

Volume: 9

3 . 4 0 6

JCR@2017

4 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: GEOSCIENCES;

ESI HC Threshold:177

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 16

SCOPUS Cited Count: 17

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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