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author:

Wu, Bo (Wu, Bo.) [1] | Li, Rongrong (Li, Rongrong.) [2] | Huang, Bo (Huang, Bo.) [3]

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Spatiotemporal autocorrelation and nonstationarity are two important issues in the modeling of geographical data. Built upon the geographically weighted regression (GWR) model and the geographically and temporally weighted regression (GTWR) model, this article develops a geographically and temporally weighted autoregressive model (GTWAR) to account for both nonstationary and auto-correlated effects simultaneously and formulates a two-stage least squares framework to estimate this model. Compared with the maximum likelihood estimation method, the proposed algorithm that does not require a prespecified distribution can effectively reduce the computation complexity. To demonstrate the efficacy of our model and algorithm, a case study on housing prices in the city of Shenzhen, China, from year 2004 to 2008 is carried out. The results demonstrate that there are substantial benefits in modeling both spatiotemporal nonstationarity and autocorrelation effects simultaneously on housing prices in terms of R-2 and Akaike Information Criterion (AIC). The proposed model reduces the absolute errors by 31.8% and 67.7% relative to the GTWR and GWR models, respectively, in the Shenzhen data set. Moreover, the GTWAR model improves the goodness-of-fit of the ordinary least squares model and the GTWR model from 0.617 and 0.875 to 0.914 in terms of R-2. The AIC test corroborates that the improvements made by GTWAR over the GWR and the GTWR models are statistically significant.

Keyword:

GTWAR housing price spatiotemporal autocorrelation spatiotemporal nonstationarity two-stage least squares estimation

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Wu, Bo]Fuzhou Univ, Minist Educ, Key Lab Spatial Data Min & Informat Sharing, Fuzhou 350002, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Li, Rongrong]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Inst Space & Earth Informat Sci, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Huang, Bo]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Inst Space & Earth Informat Sci, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Huang, Bo]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Dept Geog & Resource Management, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Huang, Bo]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Yuen Yuen Res Ctr Satellite Remote Sensing, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Huang, Bo]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Shenzhen Res Inst, Shenzhen, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Huang, Bo]Chinese Univ Hong Kong, Inst Space & Earth Informat Sci, Shatin, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

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Source :

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOGRAPHICAL INFORMATION SCIENCE

ISSN: 1365-8816

Year: 2014

Issue: 5

Volume: 28

Page: 1186-1204

1 . 6 5 5

JCR@2014

4 . 3 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: SOCIAL SCIENCES, GENERAL;

ESI HC Threshold:161

JCR Journal Grade:1

CAS Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 128

SCOPUS Cited Count: 147

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 2

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