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author:

Zhu, Huiming (Zhu, Huiming.) [1] | Su, Xianfang (Su, Xianfang.) [2] | You, Wanhai (You, Wanhai.) [3] (Scholars:游万海) | Ren, Yinghua (Ren, Yinghua.) [4]

Indexed by:

SSCI Scopus

Abstract:

The asymmetric effects of oil price shocks on stock returns have attracted the attention of many researchers in the past several decades. Most of these researchers' studies, however, do not separate out the sources of oil price shocks when examining the asymmetric effects. In this article, we address this limitation using a two-stage Markov regime-switching approach. Our results indicate that oil supply and demand shocks have a null or minimal impact on stock returns in a low-volatility regime and a statistically significant impact in a high-volatility regime. We observe that oil demand shocks affect stock returns significantly more than oil supply shocks. A positive aggregate demand shock significantly increases stock returns, whereas a positive oil-specific demand shock markedly decreases stock returns. These results have important implications for policymakers and investors.

Keyword:

Asymmetric effects Markov regime-switching oil price shocks stock returns

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhu, Huiming]Hunan Univ, Coll Business Adm, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Su, Xianfang]Hunan Univ, Coll Business Adm, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Ren, Yinghua]Hunan Univ, Coll Business Adm, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Zhu, Huiming]Hunan Univ, Coll Business Adm, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China

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Source :

APPLIED ECONOMICS

ISSN: 0003-6846

Year: 2017

Issue: 25

Volume: 49

Page: 2491-2507

0 . 7 5

JCR@2017

1 . 8 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ECONOMICS & BUSINESS;

ESI HC Threshold:195

JCR Journal Grade:3

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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