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author:

You, Wanhai (You, Wanhai.) [1] (Scholars:游万海) | Guo, Yawei (Guo, Yawei.) [2] | Zhu, Huiming (Zhu, Huiming.) [3] | Tang, Yong (Tang, Yong.) [4] (Scholars:唐勇)

Indexed by:

SSCI EI Scopus

Abstract:

This paper investigates the impact of crude oil shocks and China's economic policy uncertainty on stock returns at different locations on the return distributions. Based on monthly data from 1995:1 to 2016:3, we address this issue by employing the quantile regression technique. ThiS approach enables a more detailed investigation in different market circumstances, namely, bearish, normal and bullish markets. Empirical results indicate that the effects of oil price shocks and economic policy uncertainty are asymmetric and highly related to stock market conditions. Moreover, both the nexus of oil- and economic policy uncertainty-stock are changed at the onset of a crisis. Specially, rising oil prices have greater negative effects on stock returns when stock markets are bullish (extreme higher quantiles) before a crisis, whereas the effects are significantly positive under different market conditions after the onset of the crisis. Falling oil prices lower stock returns when stock markets are bullish and normal before the crisis, whereas lower stock returns under different market conditions except extreme bullish after the onset of the crisis. These findings might be related to the optimistic or pessimistic investor sentiments and investors might become more frightened after the crisis. (C) 2017 Published by Elsevier B.V.

Keyword:

Asymmetric effects Economic policy uncertainty Oil price shocks Quantile regression Stock markets

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Tang, Yong]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Guo, Yawei]Hunan Univ, Sch Business & Management, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhu, Huiming]Hunan Univ, Sch Business & Management, Changsha, Hunan, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • 游万海

    [You, Wanhai]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Econ & Management, Fuzhou 350116, Fujian, Peoples R China

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Source :

ENERGY ECONOMICS

ISSN: 0140-9883

Year: 2017

Volume: 68

Page: 1-18

3 . 9 1

JCR@2017

1 3 . 6 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ECONOMICS & BUSINESS;

ESI HC Threshold:195

JCR Journal Grade:1

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 233

SCOPUS Cited Count: 244

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 18 Unfold All

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WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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