• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
成果搜索

author:

Huang, Zhigang (Huang, Zhigang.) [1] (Scholars:黄志刚) | Zheng, Guozhong (Zheng, Guozhong.) [2] | Jia, Yaqin (Jia, Yaqin.) [3]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus

Abstract:

In order to research RMB exchange rate volatility under exchange rate elastification, this article selects the structure variables about RMB exchange rate volatility to forecast exchange rate volatility by linear moving average model (MA), general back propagation (BP) network and genetic algorithm back propagation (GABP) neural network model respectively. By comparison, we find that, in the lack of flexibility period, month-by-month MA model performs the optimal fitting and forecasting efficiency; along with the exchange rate elastification and liberalization, GABP network model done it best both in volatility value and volatility trend. Exchange rate elastification can deepen the equilibrium relationship between exchange rate and its structure variables; meanwhile, for nonlinear currency fluctuations, nonlinear GABP model could be better choice. © 2011 IEEE.

Keyword:

Backpropagation algorithms Finance Forecasting Genetic algorithms Information analysis Neural networks

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Huang, Zhigang]School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fujian Fuzhou, 350002, China
  • [ 2 ] [Zheng, Guozhong]School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fujian Fuzhou, 350002, China
  • [ 3 ] [Jia, Yaqin]School of Management, Fuzhou University, Fujian Fuzhou, 350002, China

Reprint 's Address:

Show more details

Version:

Related Keywords:

Related Article:

Source :

Year: 2011

Page: 22-26

Language: English

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count: 3

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

Online/Total:947/10979300
Address:FZU Library(No.2 Xuyuan Road, Fuzhou, Fujian, PRC Post Code:350116) Contact Us:0591-22865326
Copyright:FZU Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd. 闽ICP备05005463号-1