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author:

Lai, Yuan-wen (Lai, Yuan-wen.) [1] (Scholars:赖元文) | Wang, Yang (Wang, Yang.) [2] | Xu, Xin-ying (Xu, Xin-ying.) [3] | Easa, Said M. (Easa, Said M..) [4] | Zhou, Xiao-wei (Zhou, Xiao-wei.) [5]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Accurate and stable short-term passenger flow prediction is an indispensable part of current intelligent transportation systems. This paper proposes two deep learning prediction models based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) and long short-term memory neural network (LSTM). Combining the CNN characteristics and the LSTM, the ConvXD-LSTM extracts passenger flow features through CNN and then inputs the time series into the LSTM. The ConvLSTM converts the weight calculation of the LSTM into convolution operation to realize short-term passenger flow prediction. Fuzhou Metro Line 1 passenger flow data was used for verification. The models were used to predict the passenger flow of subway stations and cross-sections and compared with the traditional prediction models. In terms of prediction accuracy, ConvLSTM has the highest accuracy, followed by ConvXD-LSTM. In terms of running time, ConvXD is the fastest and LSTM takes the longest. ConvXD-LSTM and ConvLSTM are in the middle of the two models, achieving a good balance between accuracy and efficiency. Compared with ConvXD-LSTM, ConvLSTM has a relatively simple network structure, which reduces the computational burden and improves the prediction accuracy.

Keyword:

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lai, Yuan-wen]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wang, Yang]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Xu, Xin-ying]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Zhou, Xiao-wei]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Xu, Xin-ying]Putian City Rail Transit Co Ltd, Putian, Fujian, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Easa, Said M.]Ryerson Univ, Depattment Civil Engn, Toronto, ON, Canada

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Lai, Yuan-wen]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350108, Fujian, Peoples R China;;

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Source :

IET INTELLIGENT TRANSPORT SYSTEMS

ISSN: 1751-956X

Year: 2022

Issue: 4

Volume: 17

Page: 716-729

2 . 7

JCR@2022

2 . 3 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:66

JCR Journal Grade:3

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 5

SCOPUS Cited Count: 4

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

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