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author:

Lai, Yuanwen (Lai, Yuanwen.) [1] (Scholars:赖元文) | Liang, Hangyu (Liang, Hangyu.) [2] | Huang, Liling (Huang, Liling.) [3]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

To establish a suitable pure electric bus arrival time prediction model, this paper takes pure electric bus as the research object. Based on the analysis of the influencing factors of the arrival time of the pure electric bus, the BP neural network arrival time prediction model optimized by the firefly algorithm (FA-BP prediction model) is established by selecting vehicle type, SOC value, battery age, and time as input conditions. The model is trained and tested by using bus operation data. The root mean square error of the Kalman filter model is 0.351, of the BP neural network model is 0.059, and of the FA-BP prediction model is 0.04. The results show that the model in this paper effectively improves the prediction accuracy and has good reliability and feasibility. It can provide some theoretical references for pure electric bus operation and managers and provide some basis for improving bus reliability.

Keyword:

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Lai, Yuanwen]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Liang, Hangyu]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Huang, Liling]Fuzhou Urban & Rural Planning & Design Inst Co Ltd, Fuzhou 350019, Peoples R China

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Source :

JOURNAL OF ADVANCED TRANSPORTATION

ISSN: 0197-6729

Year: 2023

Volume: 2023

2 . 0

JCR@2023

2 . 0 0 0

JCR@2023

ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;

ESI HC Threshold:35

JCR Journal Grade:2

CAS Journal Grade:4

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count: 0

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 1

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