• Complex
  • Title
  • Keyword
  • Abstract
  • Scholars
  • Journal
  • ISSN
  • Conference
成果搜索

author:

Fang, Wei (Fang, Wei.) [1] | Qin, Hui (Qin, Hui.) [2] | Lin, Qian (Lin, Qian.) [3] | Jia, Benjun (Jia, Benjun.) [4] | Yang, Yuqi (Yang, Yuqi.) [5] | Shen, Keyan (Shen, Keyan.) [6]

Indexed by:

EI Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

Reliable forecast precipitation can support disaster prevention and mitigation and sustainable socio-economic development. Improving forecast precipitation accuracy remains a challenge. Therefore, a novel method for multi-model forecast precipitation integration considering long lead times was proposed based on deep learning. First, the accuracy of numerical forecast precipitation was evaluated under different lead times. Secondly, an integrated model was built by coupling the attention mechanism and a long short-term memory neural network (LSTM). Finally, integrated forecast precipitation was obtained by taking high-precision numerical forecast precipitation as an input and examining its accuracy and applicability. Considering the example of the Yalong River, the results showed the following: (1) numerical forecast precipitation fails to forecast precipitation of a >= 10 mm/d intensity well, and is less applicable in streamflow forecast; (2) traditional machine learning methods for integrating multi-model forecast precipitation fail to forecast precipitation of a >= 25 mm/d intensity; (3) the LSTM-A integration model formed by attention weighting after the LSTM output can combine the advantages of numerical forecast precipitation under different intensities and improve the forecast precipitation accuracy for 7-day lead times; and (4) the LSTM-A integrated forecast precipitation has the best applicability in streamflow forecast, with an NSE above 0.82 and an MRE below 30% with 7-day lead times. These findings contribute to improving precipitation forecast accuracy at different intensities and enhancing defense against extreme weather events.

Keyword:

deep learning improving accuracy long lead times long short-term memory neural network multi-model forecast precipitation integration

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Fang, Wei]Fuzhou Univ, Coll Civil Engn, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Fang, Wei]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Civil & Hydraul Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Qin, Hui]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Civil & Hydraul Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Fang, Wei]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Hubei Key Lab Digital River Basin Sci & Technol, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Qin, Hui]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Hubei Key Lab Digital River Basin Sci & Technol, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Lin, Qian]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350108, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Jia, Benjun]China Yangtze Power Co Ltd, Hubei Key Lab Intelligent Yangtze & Hydroelect Sci, Yichang 443000, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Yang, Yuqi]China Yangtze Power Co Ltd, Hubei Key Lab Intelligent Yangtze & Hydroelect Sci, Yichang 443000, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Shen, Keyan]China Yangtze Power Co Ltd, Hubei Key Lab Intelligent Yangtze & Hydroelect Sci, Yichang 443000, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Qin, Hui]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Civil & Hydraul Engn, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China;;[Qin, Hui]Huazhong Univ Sci & Technol, Hubei Key Lab Digital River Basin Sci & Technol, Wuhan 430074, Peoples R China

Show more details

Related Keywords:

Source :

REMOTE SENSING

Year: 2024

Issue: 23

Volume: 16

4 . 2 0 0

JCR@2023

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

Online/Total:990/10407045
Address:FZU Library(No.2 Xuyuan Road, Fuzhou, Fujian, PRC Post Code:350116) Contact Us:0591-22865326
Copyright:FZU Library Technical Support:Beijing Aegean Software Co., Ltd. 闽ICP备05005463号-1