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author:

Xiong, Siying (Xiong, Siying.) [1] | Cai, Shaojian (Cai, Shaojian.) [2] | Wei, Fengying (Wei, Fengying.) [3] | Zhou, Ruiyang (Zhou, Ruiyang.) [4] | Jin, Zhen (Jin, Zhen.) [5] | Chen, Guangmin (Chen, Guangmin.) [6] | Xie, Jianfeng (Xie, Jianfeng.) [7] | Zheng, Kuicheng (Zheng, Kuicheng.) [8]

Indexed by:

Scopus SCIE

Abstract:

The impacts of strain evolution on transmission dynamics are important for the public and the policymakers during the spread of infectious diseases. A varying-strain model is proposed to analyze the small-scale and short-duration epidemics. First, the expression of basic reproduction number is obtained by next generation matrix method. Then, the stabilities of equilibrium points are derived by Routh-Hurwitz criterion and LaSalle's invariant principle. Further, combining the official surveillance data, the impacts of infection scales are investigated. Meanwhile, the sensitivity analysis for basic reproduction number and peaks of infected individuals are conducted. The results of this study provide significant insights for the policymakers controlling small-scale and short-duration epidemics.

Keyword:

awareness delay COVID-19 sensitivity analysis stability Varying-strain model

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xiong, Siying]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 2 ] [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 3 ] [Zhou, Ruiyang]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 4 ] [Cai, Shaojian]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Guangmin]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 6 ] [Xie, Jianfeng]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 7 ] [Zheng, Kuicheng]Fujian Prov Ctr Dis Control & Prevent, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 8 ] [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Ctr Appl Math Fujian Prov, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China
  • [ 9 ] [Zhou, Ruiyang]Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Inst Fundamental & Frontier Sci, Chengdu 61173, Sichuan, Peoples R China
  • [ 10 ] [Jin, Zhen]Shanxi Univ, Complex Models Res Ctr, Taiyuan 030006, Peoples R China
  • [ 11 ] [Chen, Guangmin]Fujian Prov Key Lab Zoonosis Res, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 12 ] [Xie, Jianfeng]Fujian Prov Key Lab Zoonosis Res, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 13 ] [Zheng, Kuicheng]Fujian Prov Key Lab Zoonosis Res, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 14 ] [Chen, Guangmin]Fujian Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 15 ] [Xie, Jianfeng]Fujian Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China
  • [ 16 ] [Zheng, Kuicheng]Fujian Med Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Fuzhou 350012, Peoples R China

Reprint 's Address:

  • [Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China;;[Wei, Fengying]Fuzhou Univ, Ctr Appl Math Fujian Prov, Fuzhou 350116, Peoples R China

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Source :

INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF BIOMATHEMATICS

ISSN: 1793-5245

Year: 2025

2 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

CAS Journal Grade:2

Cited Count:

WoS CC Cited Count:

SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

WanFang Cited Count:

Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 3

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