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author：

Xiong, S. (Xiong, S..) [1] | Cai, S. (Cai, S..) [2] | Wei, F. (Wei, F..) [3] | Zhou, R. (Zhou, R..) [4] | Jin, Z. (Jin, Z..) [5] | Chen, G. (Chen, G..) [6] | Xie, J. (Xie, J..) [7] | Zheng, K. (Zheng, K..) [8]

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Scopus

Abstract：

The　impacts　of　strain　evolution　on　transmission　dynamics　are　important　for　the　public　and　the　policymakers　during　the　spread　of　infectious　diseases.　A　varying-strain　model　is　proposed　to　analyze　the　small-scale　and　short-duration　epidemics.　First,　the　expression　of　basic　reproduction　number　is　obtained　by　next　generation　matrix　method.　Then,　the　stabilities　of　equilibrium　points　are　derived　by　Routh-Hurwitz　criterion　and　LaSalle＇s　invariant　principle.　Further,　combining　the　official　surveillance　data,　the　impacts　of　infection　scales　are　investigated.　Meanwhile,　the　sensitivity　analysis　for　basic　reproduction　number　and　peaks　of　infected　individuals　are　conducted.　The　results　of　this　study　provide　significant　insights　for　the　policymakers　controlling　small-scale　and　short-duration　epidemics.　　©　2025　World　Scientific　Publishing　Company.

Keyword：

awareness delay COVID-19 sensitivity analysis stability Varying-strain model

Community：

  • [ 1 ] [Xiong S.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 2 ] [Cai S.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wei F.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wei F.]Center for Applied Mathematics of Fujian Province, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 5 ] [Zhou R.]School of Mathematics and Statistics, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou, 350116, China
  • [ 6 ] [Zhou R.]Institute of Fundamental and Frontier Sciences, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Sichuan, 61173, China
  • [ 7 ] [Jin Z.]Complex Models Research Center, Shanxi University, Taiyuan, 030006, China
  • [ 8 ] [Chen G.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 9 ] [Chen G.]Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 10 ] [Chen G.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 11 ] [Xie J.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 12 ] [Xie J.]Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 13 ] [Xie J.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 14 ] [Zheng K.]Fujian Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 15 ] [Zheng K.]Fujian Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonosis Research, Fuzhou, 350012, China
  • [ 16 ] [Zheng K.]School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, 350012, China

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Source ：

International Journal of Biomathematics

ISSN： 1793-5245

Year： 2025

2 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List： 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV： 2

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