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Field measurements with 38 weather stations in Shanghai revealed a strong daytime UHI effect that Tmax was 0.25°C–5.66°C higher than suburban areas during extreme summer afternoons. Through regression analysis, nonlinear effects of urban morphologies on pedestrian-level air temperature were observed. The TabPFN model outperformed the linear regression, random forest, AdaBoost, and XGBoost, with RMSE of 0.71°C for Tavg and 1.01°C for Tmax, respectively. Compared with the linear regression, the TabPFN reduced prediction error of Tavg and Tmax by 35 % and 33 %, respectively. Among the investigated urban morphologies, the sky view factor, ground albedo, and impervious ground surface fraction were the key parameters affecting afternoon temperature. The sky view factor was the most influential parameter, accounting for about 0.22 and 0.27 of the variances in Tavg and Tmax, respectively. As SVF increased from 0.06 to 0.71, the average Tavg and Tmax changed by 4-5°C. The high temperature risk assessment indicated that a 50 % reduction in SVF led to a significant decrease in the probability of high temperature events, with the probability of Tmax > 35°C decreasing from 59.5 % to 34.1 %, the probability of Tmax > 37°C decreasing from 44.3 % to 9.7 %, and the probability of Tmax > 40°C decreasing from 17.3 % to 2.2 %. Radiative cooling material was effective in mitigating extreme heat events (Tmax > 40°C). When ground albedo increased by 20 %, the probability of Tmax > 40°C decreased significantly from 17.3 % to 6.5 %, while the probability of Tmax > 35°C increased from 59.5 % to 81.1 %. These findings highlight that lightweight shading (e.g., trees, retractable covers) effectively reduces solar radiation, while minimizing impervious surfaces (e.g., grass bricks) and using high-reflectivity ground materials can enhance microclimate conditions. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd
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Sustainable Cities and Society
ISSN: 2210-6707
Year: 2025
Volume: 128
1 0 . 5 0 0
JCR@2023
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 1
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