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Accurate and timely estimation of gross domestic product (GDP) is essential for evaluating economic development. Nighttime light (NTL) data effectively estimate subindustry GDP, yet previous studies relied on single panchromatic bands. Whether multispectral nighttime remote sensing data, detecting spectral differences from economic activities, improves subindustry GDP estimates remains unverified. This article leverages multispectral NTL and thermal infrared data from the SDGSAT-1 satellite, combined with land cover data, to estimate subindustry GDP using machine learning models. We compare support vector machines, neural networks, and random forest (RF), identifying RF as the optimal model due to its lowest RMSE values (9.16, 171.06, and 180.51 for primary, secondary, and tertiary industries, respectively). Empirical results demonstrate that multispectral SDGSAT-1 data significantly outperforms its single panchromatic band counterpart, improving R-2 values for secondary and tertiary industries from 0.58 to 0.88 and 0.68 to 0.90, respectively. Compared to VIIRS NTL data, SDGSAT-1 further reduces spatial misdistribution over farmland and industrial zones, achieving a 7.7% R-2 improvement at smaller scale (industrial parks level). Key factors driving GDP estimation vary across industries: cropland area dominates for the primary industry; thermal infrared and red light intensity for the secondary industry; and blue light intensity for the tertiary industry. These findings validate the superiority of multispectral NTL data in subindustry GDP estimation and offer actionable insights for enhancing urban economic monitoring and policy formulation.
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IEEE JOURNAL OF SELECTED TOPICS IN APPLIED EARTH OBSERVATIONS AND REMOTE SENSING
ISSN: 1939-1404
Year: 2025
Volume: 18
Page: 20279-20293
4 . 7 0 0
JCR@2023
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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
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30 Days PV: 4
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