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author:

Zhang, Lingxian (Zhang, Lingxian.) [1] | Chen, Zuoqi (Chen, Zuoqi.) [2] | Gong, Wenkang (Gong, Wenkang.) [3] | Wang, Congxiao (Wang, Congxiao.) [4] | Xiong, Jing (Xiong, Jing.) [5] | Dong, Linxin (Dong, Linxin.) [6] | Ni, Jingwen (Ni, Jingwen.) [7] | Huang, Yan (Huang, Yan.) [8] | Yu, Bailang (Yu, Bailang.) [9]

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Abstract:

Accurate and timely estimation of gross domestic product (GDP) is essential for evaluating economic development. Nighttime light (NTL) data effectively estimate subindustry GDP, yet previous studies relied on single panchromatic bands. Whether multispectral nighttime remote sensing data, detecting spectral differences from economic activities, improves subindustry GDP estimates remains unverified. This article leverages multispectral NTL and thermal infrared data from the SDGSAT-1 satellite, combined with land cover data, to estimate subindustry GDP using machine learning models. We compare support vector machines, neural networks, and random forest (RF), identifying RF as the optimal model due to its lowest RMSE values (9.16, 171.06, and 180.51 for primary, secondary, and tertiary industries, respectively). Empirical results demonstrate that multispectral SDGSAT-1 data significantly outperforms its single panchromatic band counterpart, improving R2 values for secondary and tertiary industries from 0.58 to 0.88 and 0.68 to 0.90, respectively. Compared to VIIRS NTL data, SDGSAT-1 further reduces spatial misdistribution over farmland and industrial zones, achieving a 7.7% R2 improvement at smaller scale (industrial parks level). Key factors driving GDP estimation vary across industries: cropland area dominates for the primary industry; thermal infrared and red light intensity for the secondary industry; and blue light intensity for the tertiary industry. These findings validate the superiority of multispectral NTL data in subindustry GDP estimation and offer actionable insights for enhancing urban economic monitoring and policy formulation. © IEEE. 2008-2012 IEEE.

Keyword:

Economic analysis Industrial economics Infrared radiation Learning systems Neural networks Remote sensing Support vector machines

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Zhang, Lingxian]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China
  • [ 2 ] [Chen, Zuoqi]Fuzhou University, Key Laboratory of Spatial Data Mining and Information Sharing of Ministry of Education, National and Local Joint Engineering Research Center of Satellite Geospatial Information Technology, Academy of Digital China, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 3 ] [Gong, Wenkang]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China
  • [ 4 ] [Wang, Congxiao]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China
  • [ 5 ] [Xiong, Jing]Shanghai Jiao Tong University, China Institute for Urban Governance, Shanghai; 200030, China
  • [ 6 ] [Dong, Linxin]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China
  • [ 7 ] [Ni, Jingwen]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China
  • [ 8 ] [Huang, Yan]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China
  • [ 9 ] [Yu, Bailang]East China Normal University, Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of Education), School of Geographic Sciences, Shanghai; 200241, China

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Source :

IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing

ISSN: 1939-1404

Year: 2025

Volume: 18

Page: 20279-20293

4 . 7 0 0

JCR@2023

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