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author:

Xu, Yang (Xu, Yang.) [1] | Peng, Peng (Peng, Peng.) [2] | Claramunt, Christophe (Claramunt, Christophe.) [3] | Qian, Jiale (Qian, Jiale.) [4] | Lu, Feng (Lu, Feng.) [5]

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Abstract:

The transport security of liquefied natural gas (LNG) is a major challenge in global energy supply chains. Understanding the impact of port disruptions and strengthening the system's resilience are critical to ensuring global energy trade. This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for assessing the resilience of the LNG transport network. First, we construct a directed and weighted network model of the LNG transport system, and apply multidimensional centrality measures to evaluate the importance of individual ports. Next, we assess changes in the network structure caused by intentional port node disruptions, employing a Bow-tie network structure analysis. Additionally, we introduce a novel weighted network efficiency metric that incorporates link directionality and weight to assess the static resilience of the network. Furthermore, we develop an SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) transmission model that integrates relative weighted influence metrics for each port to showcase the dynamic spread of risk following a disruption at a port node. Finally, a dynamic resilience assessment framework leverages several key metrics to enhance a better understanding of the resilience of critical LNG transit ports. Our modeling methodology and evaluation framework offer a theoretical foundation for stakeholders to mitigate unexpected risks and safeguard against the diffusion of disruption risk. © 2025 Elsevier Ltd

Keyword:

Complex networks Economic and social effects Liquefied natural gas Natural gas transportation Risk assessment Ships Supply chains Transportation routes

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Xu, Yang]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 2 ] [Xu, Yang]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100049, China
  • [ 3 ] [Peng, Peng]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 4 ] [Peng, Peng]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100049, China
  • [ 5 ] [Claramunt, Christophe]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 6 ] [Claramunt, Christophe]Naval Academy Research Institute, Lanvéoc; 29240, France
  • [ 7 ] [Qian, Jiale]School of Public Policy and Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
  • [ 8 ] [Lu, Feng]State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100101, China
  • [ 9 ] [Lu, Feng]University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; 100049, China
  • [ 10 ] [Lu, Feng]The Academy of Digital China, Fuzhou University, Fuzhou; 350002, China
  • [ 11 ] [Lu, Feng]Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application, Nanjing; 210023, China

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Source :

Reliability Engineering and System Safety

ISSN: 0951-8320

Year: 2026

Volume: 265

9 . 4 0 0

JCR@2023

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SCOPUS Cited Count:

ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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Chinese Cited Count:

30 Days PV: 0

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