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author:

Miao, Xiren (Miao, Xiren.) [1] | Liu, Yuhan (Liu, Yuhan.) [2] | Wang, Minghai (Wang, Minghai.) [3] | Jiang, Hao (Jiang, Hao.) [4] | Chen, Jing (Chen, Jing.) [5] | Lin, Weiqing (Lin, Weiqing.) [6] | Chen, Xi (Chen, Xi.) [7]

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EI

Abstract:

Data-driven methods have been widely used in electricity load forecasting to improve forecasting accuracy. However, when the electricity-selling company accesses new customers, the applicability of conventional data-driven methods is somewhat limited due to the lack of customers' historical electricity consumption data. To solve this problem, the paper proposes a short-term power load forecasting method based on Domain adversarial Transfer Network (DATN). The model utilizes the Transformer model as a feature extractor to capture dynamic features and time dependencies in the load data. Subsequently, the load forecaster accurately predicts the future load profile based on these features. Adversarial learning through the domain discriminator and feature extractor ensures that the model learns deep domain invariant features while combining Multi-Kernel Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MK-MMD) and Correlation Alignment (CORAL) to reduce further the distribution difference between source and target domain data. The model is validated on the electricity consumption data of industrial users in a southern province, and the experimental results show that the method has good prediction accuracy and adaptability in small sample scenarios. © 2025 Power System Technology Press. All rights reserved.

Keyword:

Data accuracy Electric load forecasting Electric power plant loads Electric power utilization Learning systems Sales

Community:

  • [ 1 ] [Miao, Xiren]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 2 ] [Liu, Yuhan]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 3 ] [Wang, Minghai]Changle District Electric Power Supply Branch of State Grid Fujian Electric Power Co., Ltd., Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350200, China
  • [ 4 ] [Jiang, Hao]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 5 ] [Chen, Jing]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 6 ] [Lin, Weiqing]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China
  • [ 7 ] [Chen, Xi]College of Electrical Engineering and Automation, Fuzhou University, Fujian Province, Fuzhou; 350108, China

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Source :

Power System Technology

ISSN: 1000-3673

Year: 2025

Issue: 9

Volume: 49

Page: 3745-3755

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ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All

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30 Days PV: 0

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