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Abstract:
Improving the accuracy of very-short-term (VST) photovoltaic (PV) power generation prediction can effectively enhance the quality of operational scheduling of PV power plants, and provide a reference for PV maintenance and emergency response. In this paper, the effects of different meteorological factors on PV power generation as well as the degree of impact at different time periods are analyzed. Secondly, according to the characteristics of radiation coordinate, a simple radiation classification coordinate (RCC) method is proposed to classify and select similar time periods. Based on the characteristics of PV power time-series, the selected similar time period dataset (include power output and multivariate meteorological factors data) is reconstructed as the training dataset. Then, the long short-term memory (LSTM) recurrent neural network is applied as the learning network of the proposed model. The proposed model is tested on two independent PV systems from the Desert Knowledge Australia Solar Centre (DKASC) PV data. The proposed model achieving mean absolute percentage error of 2.74-7.25%, and according to four error metrics, the results show that the robustness and accuracy of the RCC-LSTM model are better than the other four comparison models.
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ELECTRONICS
ISSN: 2079-9292
Year: 2020
Issue: 2
Volume: 9
2 . 3 9 7
JCR@2020
2 . 6 0 0
JCR@2023
ESI Discipline: ENGINEERING;
ESI HC Threshold:132
JCR Journal Grade:3
Cited Count:
WoS CC Cited Count: 55
SCOPUS Cited Count: 56
ESI Highly Cited Papers on the List: 0 Unfold All
WanFang Cited Count:
Chinese Cited Count:
30 Days PV: 1
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